UFC 100: The Lines, the Predictions, the Article

Midwest Sports FansAnalyst IJuly 10, 2009

NEW YORK - MARCH 18:  World Wrestling Entertainment Wrestler Brock Lesnar attends a media conference announcing the all-star lineup of WWE WrestleMania XIX at ESPN Zone in Times Square March 18, 2003 in New York City.  (Photo by Mark Mainz/Getty Images)

The Ultimate Fighting Championship will be holding their 100th Pay Per View event this Saturday evening.

Less than 10 years ago it looked as if the UFC was a failed experiment, but now things seem to have come full circle.

Its PPVs reach millions, a few of its fighters are household names, and Dana White has a successful V-log.


UFC 100

  • UFC 100 Date: Saturday, July 11
  • UFC 100 Start Time 7 p.m. PT/10 p.m. ET
  • UFC 100 TV: Live only on Pay Per View

UFC 100 Betting Lines and Predictions

Brock Lesnar (Heavyweight Champion) -240 Vs. Frank Mir (Interim Heavyweight Champion) +190

It seems like only yesterday that Brock Lesnar was F-5ing the Big Show on WWE Smackdown; my how time flies.

Lesnar is now 2-1 in the UFC and appears to be unstoppable. His combination of size, redneck fervor, and brute force seems to have turned him into some kind of superhuman fighting manufactured home owner.

Back in 2004, Frank Mir captured the Heavyweight Title, then was injured in a motorcycle accident. It was two years before he returned to the octagon, and two more years before he returned to title holder status.

The man is a sub

mission expert and seems to have figured out how to win on his feet.

Mir welcomed Lesnar to the UFC by allowing Brock to pound on his face then making him tap out to an ankle lock in the first round.

Brock hates Mir for that and for not wearing Death Clutch T-shirts in every interview.

What makes this pick problematic for me is the first fight. Mir said, in a few interviews, he was going to wait for Brock to expose his legs and then attack them because wrestlers tend to forget about them.

While Mir was getting pounded by Lesnar's meat hooks, he found Brock’s legs, and then attacked them. That says a lot to me about both guys. One, Lesner was relying on his power and wasn’t paying attention to Mir. Two, Mir actually gameplans.

My Pick: Brock Lesnar...though I don’t feel good about it.


Georges St-Pierre (Welterweight Champion) -300 Vs. Thiago Alves+220

The big news coming into this fight is that Thiago Alves is near making weight. Yeah, nothing about the actual match up.

I guess that becomes a big deal when you cut weight to fight at 170 but walk around over 200

pounds. Also, he has a history of missing weight for big fights (okay, one big fight, but it was the one which gave him this fight).

Georges St-Pierre, the man is invincible. He is like MMA's Rambo. He will out wrestle a wrestler, submit a BJJ blackbelt, KO a standup fighter, and then shake your hand, bow and wish you the best after he wins.

After it’s all said and done, he will have probably boinked your sister, and you’ll shrug it off, saying “Well, that guy's good.”

This is where I usually give the underdog some kind of fighting chance then mention what the favorite does well. Alves is good at eating and knocking people out; GSP is great at everything else.

This money line may be too close (and that line will decide my fate when Alves hits a flash KO and GSP falls while cursing my name).

My Pick: Georges St-Pierre


Jon Jones -450 Vs. Jake O’Brien +325

Yeah, there are some bigger fights on the main card like Fitch vs. Thiago, the TUF coach fight of Henderson vs. Bisping, or the two grizzled vets Coleman Vs. Bonnar, but this fight is much more interesting.

Not because it will be a back and forth battle between two guys fighting for their livelihoods; or because the two men hate each other and it will quickly divulge into an old-fashioned slug fest.

This is interesting because one of these guys is two fights away from being a headliner, and the other guy is from my hometown.

Jon “Bones” Jones is one good opponent or two more wins away from being the UFC’s next big star. He’s only 21 years old but he is already 8-0 in MMA. In two UFC fights, he has pounded his way to decision victories.

His last fight should have ended in a spectacular KO via a spinning elbow, but Stephen Bonnar somehow stumbled his way back into a defensive position and was able to make it through the rest of the match while getting manhandled. This guy is fast, powerful, and a showman.

Jake O’Brien isn’t exactly someone to overlook though. He had a lot of success as a heavyweight until he ran into the Pitbull Andrei Arlovski.

He suffered one more defeat after that and has decided to drop weight to fight in the stacked Light-Heavyweight division.

If Jones wasn’t such a young phenom, I would expect to see something out of O’Brien. Though this fight isn’t on the main card, I would look forward to seeing it.

My Pick: Jon “Bones” Jones


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