It’s really important to not only make predictions, but also to track them, which is what I did with the Dallas Cowboys last year and will continue to do in 2014. I make a number of Cowboys and NFL-related predictions each year, revisiting them at the end of the season.
Predictions are important because they convey understanding of a subject matter. Pretty much anyone can look back on past events and tell you what happened; few can interpret those events in such a way that it helps identify predictors of future events.
As it relates to the Cowboys in 2014, we’re looking for predictors of future play that might not be factored into past stats. When I chose George Selvie as my “biggest surprise” for Dallas in last year’s preseason, for example, I used a combination of his career pressure rate and his arm length to predict that his past struggles in the NFL weren’t a sign of his future play.
For this year’s predictions—both in this slideshow and in future articles—I’m combining predictive stats with my opinions on how this Cowboys team is going to transform with new personnel and coaches. I think the addition of Scott Linehan is going to have a pretty significant impact on quarterback Tony Romo’s stats, for example, so that needs to be accounted for in my predictions.
With that said, here are five bold predictions for Dallas in 2014.