The fight for the 2014 Formula One World Championship can now safely be called a two-horse race. Barring a catastrophic meltdown at Mercedes, either Lewis Hamilton or Nico Rosberg will take the title.
Whichever man wins, the other will come second.
But that's not the only battle going on. Behind the two Mercedes, a close scrap is developing between the Red Bull and Ferrari drivers to claim third place. Force India and Williams could challenge at occasional races, but over the course of the season they'll need a miracle to stay in contention.
So it should come down to Fernando Alonso, Kimi Raikkonen, Sebastian Vettel and Daniel Ricciardo.
A spot at the end-of-season FIA Prize-Giving Gala isn't much of an incentive, but every driver wants to finish as high up the table as he can.
Which of the four is most likely to do it?