Realistic Draft-Day Trade Possibilities for the Indianapolis Colts
With just two picks in the top 150, the Colts may try to gain a higher pick or an additional one in the early rounds. Or, considering the depth in the draft, the Colts could trade down and pick up some picks in the third or fourth rounds.
The point is that despite the lack of picks, there is a strong possibility that the Colts move at some point or another in two weeks. There are three groups of possibilities, all with their different reasoning. Read on to find out why the Colts could trade and who might be in play.
Trade Up into the Bottom of the 1st Round
The highest the Colts could realistically move up is into the bottom of the first round—think mid-to-low 20s. Even to do that would take quite the price, namely a future pick.
Let's assume that the team's second-round pick would be a part of the package to get that high. Using the NFL Trade Value chart provided by Drafttek, the Colts would basically need to double the value provided by their second-round pick in order to make a trade into the first round.
How could they do that? Well, one way would be to package their remaining picks, except that adds up to less than two-thirds of the second-rounder.
No, the only way to trade into the first round would be to trade a future pick. The Colts could feasibly trade this year's second, next year's second and a late-round pick (2014 or 2015) to move up, allowing them to keep next year's first. Or they could trade next year's first, which would allow them to trade farther up into the round or possibly even keep their second-rounder this year.
Of course, I don't recommend trading first-round picks. It doesn't usually work out. This particular scenario doesn't seem likely, but if one of the top picks starts dropping, scouts could start salivating.
OLB Dee Ford
WR Odell Beckham Jr.
CB Kyle Fuller
SS Calvin Pryor
OG Xavier Su'a-Filo
DT Aaron Donald
OLB Anthony Barr
CB Bradley Roby
Trade Up in the 2nd Round
The most plausible of the trade scenarios involving the Colts' second-round pick, trading a few spots in the second round is one that would have a small price to pay for a potentially huge payoff.
Why would the Colts trade up in the second? The only reason would be to draft one of the stud players at a prime position. Those positions would include secondary (namely safety, where a hole resides beside LaRon Landry), center, pass-rusher and wide receiver.
The price, of course, would depend on how far up the Colts wished to move from 59. If a prospect fell down into the mid-50s and the team wanted to ensure it got him, it could probably use its fifth- or sixth-round pick to move up a spot or two.
If the Colts needed to move up into the middle of the second round, such as the early to mid-40s, they probably would take this for a future third- or fourth-round pick.
I can't see the team giving up this year's third-round pick, not in a draft that's projected to have so much talent left in the middle rounds. But trading a future mid-round pick to trade up a few spots is absolutely a possibility. The Colts traded a future fifth in 2012 to trade up five picks for T.Y. Hilton, a scenario that could play out once again in the second this year (or any other round for that matter).
S Jimmie Ward, NIU
S Deone Bucannon, Washington State
C/G Marcus Martin, USC
C Weston Richburg, Colorado State
OLB Kyle Van Noy, BYU
OLB Jeremiah Attaochu, Georgia Tech
DT Ra'Shede Hageman, Minnesota
CB Pierre Desir, Lindenwood
CB Bradley Roby, Ohio State
WR Jordan Matthews, Vanderbilt
WR Cody Latimer, Indiana
WR Davante Adams, Fresno State
Trade Down from the 2nd
The most discussed scenario for Indianapolis is trading up, but the Colts could attempt to move the other direction as well. While this would seem to be counterintuitive to the Colts building a championship roster, one could make an argument that the oft-mentioned depth in this draft would make more mid-round picks preferable to a single second-rounder.
If the Colts traded down from 59—say into the early third round—they could potentially pick up another fifth- or sixth-rounder, potentially even a late fourth-round pick.
Doing this would allow the Colts to focus on getting a few more young, promising players at multiple positions rather than one immediate starter in the second round. The Colts have done a decent job of filling their starting positions, so immediate starters aren't must-haves. They'd be nice, especially at positions like center and safety, but the team does have options at those positions.
Potential Trade Partners and Their Assets
Ideal trade partners have extra picks to deal and potentially full rosters. Remember, compensatory picks cannot be traded, but having a compensatory pick or two may make a team more willing to give up one of its other picks to move up.
San Francisco: 61, 77, 94, 129, 170, 242, 243, 245 (compensatory picks: 100)
Detroit: 76, 111, 189, 227 (comp. picks: 133, 136)
Houston: 65, 101, 141, 177, 181, 216 (comp. picks: 135, 211, 256)
New England: 62, 93, 130, 198, 206, 244 (comp. picks 140)
Seattle: 64, 132, 146, 172, 208
Atlanta: 68, 103, 147, 182, 220 (comp. picks: 139, 253, 255)
New York Jets: 80, 104, 115, 154, 195, 233 (comp. picks: 137, 209, 210, 213)
Cleveland: 71, 83, 106, 127, 145, 180, 218
Jacksonville: 70, 105, 114, 144, 150, 159, 179, 205, 222