What to Expect from Every Mets Starting Pitcher in 2014
Recently, the New York Mets' 2014 hitting predictions were done, and now, it's time for the starting pitchers predictions. The Mets' present and future success will arguably be built around the rotation.
The starting pitchers will hope to do well on the mound, but other factors such as run support and the bullpen could always play a role in how many wins and losses the starters might end up having.
Here are some reasonable numbers that Mets fans should be able to expect from the team's starting rotation.
Statistics are courtesy of Baseball Reference.
2014 Predicted Statistics: 13-16 wins, 2.90-3.30 ERA, 190-200 IP, 150-170 K
Zack Wheeler is coming off a rookie season in which he went 7-5 with a 3.42 ERA in 17 starts. Wheeler was called up in June and pitched with the Mets for the rest of the season.
With Matt Harvey likely to miss at least the vast majority of the season, per ESPN New York's Adam Rubin, the Mets will need to depend on Wheeler to possibly be an ace for the time being. Wheeler has a lot of potential and should be able to rise up to the task.
2014 Predicted Statistics: 12-15 wins, 3.20-3.50 ERA, 160-180 IP, 120-140 K
Jon Niese's 2013 season was not particularly consistent, but despite just an 8-8 record, he had a 3.71 ERA in 143 innings pitched.
Niese will be expected once again to be a solid southpaw in the Mets' 2014 rotation. He has shown the ability to pitch very well, but needs to be more consistent going forward. He has the potential to have an ERA in the low three's.
2014 Predicted Statistics: 10-15 wins, 3.50-4.00 ERA, 170-190 IP, 130-150 K
Dillon Gee bounced back and had a very good 2013 season. He led the Mets in wins, games started and innings pitched. Overall, he had a 12-11 record and a 3.62 ERA in 199 innings pitched.
Despite the success, Gee may not pitch in the front end of the rotation in 2014.
But if Gee happens to be a back-end starter, he should certainly be one of the better ones around. He has very good control, and if he can keep the ball in the ballpark, he should find even more success this season.
2014 Predicted Statistics: 12-15 wins, 3.20-3.50 ERA, 150-170 IP, 100-110 K
The Mets' main pitching signing for the offseason was that of veteran Bartolo Colon, who inked a two-year, $20 million deal. Colon is coming off an 18-win season in 2013 that also included a career-best 2.65 ERA. He will turn 41 in May, but it seems like the Mets believe he will continue to pitch well, nonetheless.
Colon could possibly get the Opening Day start this season, but regardless, he will be counted on to be a great veteran presence alongside the Mets' younger pitchers.
2014 Predicted Statistics: 5-6 wins, 3.80-4.30 ERA, 90-100 IP, 60-70 K
Jenrry Mejia will probably compete in spring training for the fifth starting spot in the rotation. These numbers are assuming that he wins the job by Opening Day.
Mejia has a good amount of potential and looked very good in his five major league starts last season. He had a 1-2 record and a 2.30 ERA.
The big question though is what could happen if/when Noah Syndergaard and Rafael Montero are ready to be called up? Mejia getting moved to the bullpen after that definitely seems like a possibility. As a result, he probably won't spend the entire season in the rotation.
2014 Predicted Statistics: 6-8 wins, 3.20-3.50 ERA, 80-100 IP, 90-120 K
Top pitching prospect Noah Syndergaard could be major league ready as soon as this summer. The Mets this past summer brought up Zack Wheeler in the middle of June, and it seems that they could do the same with Syndergaard.
Syndergaard has a lot of potential and is almost certainly going to be a big part of the Mets' future success. He should be able to eat innings, pitch well and rack up a lot of strikeouts once he makes his debut.
2014 Predicted Statistics: 5-7 wins, 3.50-3.80 ERA, 80-100 IP, 70-90 K
Rafael Montero is the Mets' other big pitching prospect that could be major league ready this year. Montero is not as highly touted as Syndergaard but has great control and a lot of potential.
Montero should be able to pitch a good number of innings and get some strikeouts at the major league level.
He spent part of 2013 in Triple-A, so he is ahead of Syndergaard in development. As a result, he could possibly get called up first between the two if a major injury happens or if a particular starter is pitching very poorly. But if not, Montero should be up with Syndergaard by sometime in June.