Why Maurice Jones-Drew Won't Meet The Hype

JordanContributor IMay 21, 2009

I'm surprised there are few that believe Maurice-Jones Drew will not have the type of season people are expecting from him. 

People believe he could be a 1,200 yard running back, but the loss of Fred Taylor will attribute to what I believe will be a saver drop off in stats. 

When a running back runs for over a 1,000 yards, he usually has a back-up running back that can share the load if needed. 

For instance, Minnesota's Adrian Peterson and Chester Taylor; Carolina's DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart; Tennessee's Chris Johnson and LenDale White, and there are many other examples of this theory. 

Last year, Taylor ran for 556 yards. Now with the New England Patriots, Taylor has the chance to compete for the starting job with Sammy Morris, and a rehabilitating Laurence Maroney.

Jacksonville's current back-up running backs, Chauncey Washington and Alvin Pearman, have a combined four carries for nine yards. 

The losses equate to nearly one-third of the Jaguars' running game, leaving a large load for Jones-Drew to bear, considering he himself has yet to have a 1,000 yard season in his three years in the NFL.

Jones-Drew has been a durable back for the past three seasons, only missing one game, but that is without certainty going to change. 

Last season, Mo Jones-Drew averaged 12 carries per game, while Taylor averaged 11. 

Jones-Drew certainly has the potential to be an every down back, but I believe this sudden change in his work load will show a clear drop off in numbers.