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Red Bull had the best car by a country mile at Spa, but after the race Sebastian Vettel didn't sound overly enthusiastic about his chances for Monza.
"It was a very good afternoon for us and obviously looking forward to Monza where we don’t expect, maybe, to be that strong. But let’s see," he told David Tremayne of The Independent.
He doesn't mean he expects to struggle badly—a "bad circuit" for Red Bull means they're only the same speed as the other front-runners. But the car might have an Achilles heel—its engine.
The Renault is considered to be a tiny bit behind the Mercedes and Ferrari in terms of raw power, and it's down the long straights of Monza that the difference should be most keenly felt.
And following a much-improved showing in a low-downforce configuration at Spa, Ferrari's Fernando Alonso will be in the best position to capitalise.
It's unlikely he'll qualify on the front row, because his Ferrari is a bit of a dog when it comes to one-lap pace. But in the race, the red car should come alive.
It'll probably be the class of the field on Sunday, so with an acceptable starting position—say, fourth or fifth—Alonso has a great chance of coming through the field to win.
Disclaimer—this slide may be influenced by the desire to see a closer end to the championship. And the engine difference is very small.
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