Pretty much every gambling write-up advises readers on what games or trends to bet on, but in my first year as a degenerate sports gambler I have learned that the best bet is usually a "no bet.”
With that in mind, here are a couple of upcoming baseball series that should be completely avoided.
ORIOLES at ROYALS
It is tough to bet on or fade these two unpredictable teams. The Royals went on six game winning streak, but then followed it up with a six game losing streak.
Keep in mind that bettors will get no value when Zack Greinke starts.
The Orioles overachieved early in the year, but now seem to be crumbling all over the place (much like the actual city of Baltimore). They did however defeat the Royals 9-5 on Thursday Night.
Still, with all this volatility from both squads, this is one series to definitely avoid.
WHITE SOX at BLUE JAYS
With two straight losses it looks as if the Toronto Blue Jays have not picked up any momentum from Roy Halladay's stellar Tuesday night.
The Blue Jays have been one of the best bets in baseball at +828 money line, but rookies Brett Cecil and Robert Ray are up next against John Danks and Bartolo Colon.
Young pitchers tend to get completely blown out or pitch gems, like Cecil did last time against Oakland.
It’s just too tough to bet for or against them, and too hard to tell how the Blue Jays will react to their last two defeats.
BREWERS at CARDINALS
Key battles for first place are heavily bet on, but are also often too tough to call. The bookies love these situations because they can balance the books and make a profit regardless of results.
That is what you will get when the 21-14 Brewers visit the 21-14 Cardinals to determine first place in the NL Central.
The Brewers have won five of the last six against the Cubs and Marlins while the Cardinals have struggled a bit on the road going 2-4 against the Reds and Pirates.
It’s hard to figure out whether the Cardinals are in slump or not, and whether they will step up to their potential. Their starting rotation is also not the most reliable.
TWINS at YANKEES
The Yankees are coming home after a road trip in which they won four of six. Despite their April slump they seem to be coming into form.
The Twins have won five of the last six games and seem to have been playing better since the return of Joe Mauers
Even though the Yankees have home-field advantage, they have Hughes, Joba, and A.J. slated to start. All three can either pitch a shutout or give up ten runs in one inning.
A suspect bullpen makes the individual games in this series too tough to call because there are just way too many question marks (kind of like the behavior of Joba's mother.)
All of the above bets either provide no value or are coin tosses. It’s the same as playing roulette, or betting on the NBA.
Avoid these bets and your bank account and family will thank you. Stick to what works in baseball betting like betting the over at Coors Field, or for the Nationals to lose.