Unfortunately, there is no expert consensus pick on who the San Diego Padres will select in the upcoming 2013 MLB draft, starting on June 6. One thing is for sure, however: With the 13th pick, the Padres will not land one of the top three studs of the draft—Jonathan Gray, Mark Appel or University of San Diego’s Kris Bryant.
The 13th pick has been successful for the Padres in the past. In 2002, they selected shortstop Khalil Greene from Clemson University. Greene finished an impressive 2004 rookie campaign, ultimately placing second for the Rookie of the Year Award.
So who will the Padres select on June 6? Let’s see what the experts have to say.
DOB: December 31, 1991
Height/Weight: 6'1"/205 lbs
Baseball America predicts that the Padres will choose D.J. Peterson from New Mexico. However, many pundits have him going much higher in the draft.
If he does fall to the Padres, he will be an excellent pick for the rebuilding team. Peterson’s track record is stacked. He’s led the UNM Lobos in batting average, home runs, RBI, slugging percentage and on-base percentage. He has also been a semifinalist for the coveted Golden Spikes Award.
There’s no question his offense is there, but scouts still wonder about his defense.
DOB: September 6, 1994
Height/Weight: 6'1"/190 lbs
Clint Frazier agreed to play for the University of Georgia following his upcoming graduation. However, that was before he finished his season on an absolute tear. Frazier has shattered nearly all of his high school’s hitting records, including setting a new career home run mark of 52. What’s remarkable about that is that it nearly doubled the previous record, set by Brandon Moss of the Oakland Athletics.
ESPN's Keith Law (subscription required) predicts the Padres will draft Frazier with their first pick. Again, however, most pundits have him going way earlier in the draft. Sports Illustrated’s Dave Perkin has him going fourth, just after the three big names.
Law hypes Frazier's quick hands and bat speed (subscription required) and states they're “some of the best I've ever seen on an amateur player.”
DOB: January 11, 1995
Because the Padres have built a solid arsenal of young pitchers, most notably Casey Kelly, Andrew Cashner and Max Fried, many pundits predict they will focus on position players with extremely high upside. This is where Crawford comes in. It is worth noting that in the above-mentioned mock drafts, the players on the previous slides are already taken.
Crawford touts great defensive ability with a plus arm and great speed. However, Keith Law (subscription required) worries Crawford may be too “raw” and need extensive development before he becomes an everyday player. Law does concede that Crawford has a great chance to remain at shortstop—a rare feat in amateurs nowadays.
DOB: February 14, 1995
The first and only pitcher on the slideshow, Sports Illustrated’s Dave Perkins suggests the Padres grab nasty lefty Ian Clarkin with their top pick.
Though I don’t place too much importance on amateur statistics, it’s hard to ignore what Clarkin has done this past year. Holding opponents to a .140 batting average, he has a 13.3 K/9 and a 1.29 ERA. Oh, did I mention he throws mid-90s?
Clarkin has already committed to University of San Diego, but obviously, his enrollment will depend on where he falls in the draft. Again referencing Keith Law, who doesn’t have him going in the first round, his draft value is still very much in question.
DOB: April 26, 1992
MLB.com’s Jonathan Mayo has the Padres selecting Aaron Judge in the first round. Judge was instantly on everyone’s radar after he won the 2012 College Home Run Derby. Needless to say, he’s got some pop. If his body stats didn’t already jump out at you, look now. He’s huge and looks more like a football tight end than a baseball player (Kyle Blanks, you may some competition).
Keith Law states (subscription required) that Judge will be “taller than any outfielder in major league history except for Frank Howard.”
The scouts say he has average speed and defense but needs to work on his plate discipline. Law suggests he may be a high strikeout player, but still have 30-home run upside. My translation: He’s a younger Adam Dunn, Mark Reynolds or Matt Stairs.
What do you think? Who would you like to see the Padres draft?