Player: Scott Frazier
Drafted by: Chicago Cubs (No. 168 overall)
DOB: 12/3/1991 (Age: 21)
Height/Weight: 6'6"/215 lbs
Previously Drafted: 2010: 5th round by Philadelphia Phillies
After turning down the Philadelphia Phillies three years ago, Scott Frazier is back in the draft mix this year with a strong chance to go early in the second day. His best tool on the mound is his fastball, which has carried him to this point.
Eventually, Frazier's off-speed stuff and command will have to catch up to the heater if he wants to have any sort of sustained career, but there is plenty there to dream on that makes him worth a shot in the second or third round.
Full Scouting Report
Note: Numerical scores are on the conventional 20-80 scouting scale, where 50 is average, with the current score first and projected score second.
Frazier's delivery is rather uncoordinated thanks in large part to his tall 6'7" frame. Tall pitchers tend to lose their release point because they have to control a lot more limbs to make everything flow together. He uses a lot of effort in his delivery with his arm from a three-quarter angle, he struggles to repeat his mechanics and the ball tends to be all over the place.
Shows above-average velocity on his fastball; sits in the 91 to 93 mph range with some late movement down in the zone; struggles when he tries to overthrow the pitch, flattening it out and making it easier to square up; doesn't always make good use of height to drive the ball down in the zone; control will determine if pitch reaches above-average ceiling.
Breaking ball is not a viable weapon at this point; will show above-average at times, with some bite at the end; doesn't throw pitch for strikes enough, often bouncing the ball in the dirt; professional hitters will force him to keep the ball up; could be average offering if he develops better feel.
Has some feel for a changeup right now; better pitch than curveball, even though he doesn't feature it nearly as much; will have to acclimate it into his repertoire in the minors to remain as a starter; shows above-average potential if he starts using it more.
Inability to repeat delivery leads to a lot more pitches thrown; struggles to find the strike zone on a consistent basis; fastball is only pitch he really trusts; two off-speed pitches don't get thrown for strikes enough to make hitters adjust; ball can be easy to see out of his hand.
Effort in delivery makes it difficult to command any pitch; command could improve out of the bullpen since he would be able to ditch one of the off-speed pitches; as starter, isn't likely to have more than fringe-average command.
MLB Player Comparison: Tommy Hanson (Now, not when he was coming up through Atlanta's system.)
Projection: No. 4 starter in first-division rotation, with the chance to be low-end No. 3 if off-speed stuff comes around.
MLB ETA: 2016
Chances of Signing: 70%
Frazier could decide to take his talents back to Pepperdine for his senior season, hoping to improve his stock for 2014. But that doesn't seem likely, especially considering how weak this draft is and how players who would normally be third- or fourth-round picks get elevated to second-round status.