What the Experts Are Saying About Miami Heat's Postseason Chances

Peter EmerickSenior Writer IIApril 20, 2013

Apr 9, 2013; Miami, FL, USA;  Miami Heat small forward LeBron James (6) dribbles the ball against the Milwaukee Bucks in the second half at the American Airlines Arena. The Heat won 94-83. Mandatory Credit: Robert Mayer-USA TODAY Sports
Robert Mayer-USA TODAY Sports

The consensus on the Miami Heat in their first-round playoff series is in, and it's that they're going to sweep the Milwaukee Bucks with ease.

Out of five expert picks—ESPN's Dick Vitale and Tom Haberstroh, CBS Sports Ken Berger, Sports Illustrated's Sam Amick and ESPN's Expert Forecast Panel—Dick Vitale was the only expert to pick the Heat to do something other than sweep the Bucks.

While it's not as bold as Brandon Jennings' prediction of a series win over the Heat in just six games, selecting the Bucks to win even one game against the reigning champs is still quite bold.

We’re Gonna Win In Six. - Brandon Jennings on #BucksPlayoffs

— Milwaukee Bucks (@Bucks) April 19, 2013

I couldn't disagree more with Vitale's "five game prediction" for the Heat, and here's why.

The Bucks have lost seven of their past 10 games, with their only three wins coming against the Charlotte Bobcats, the Toronto Raptors and a Oklahoma City Thunder team without Kevin Durant.

Milwaukee is also the only team in the playoffs with a losing record. While the Boston Celtics (41-40) are close to being below .500, the Bucks are the only team that truly plays like a team that has lost more games than it's won.

While Brandon Jennings and Co. beat the Heat one time during the regular season, the fact that Vitale is forgetting is that the Heat are an entirely different beast in the postseason.

The Heat beat the Bucks both times they battled it out in Milwaukee, which shows that they are capable of winning the first two games at home, then finishing the series on the road.

I agree with the rest of the experts much more. Not only do they realize the Heat's dominant potential, but they also realize the Bucks' major weakness—transition defense.

LeBron James and Co. live in transition, and that's bad news because the Bucks can't even spell transition defense.

With their aggressive offensive approach in the backcourt, with Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis, quick shots and long rebounds are bound to happen, which is a catalyst for Dwyane Wade-to-LeBron James fast-break highlights. 

Once the Heat get into transition, and effectively run their offense out of it, the Bucks stand no chance of even competing on the same level as them.

A clean sweep is on the horizon for the Bucks, and that's bad news for Mr. Jennings.