Chesapeake Energy Arena is one of the toughest places to play in the NBA. The Thunder are also one of the best home teams in the league. Oklahoma City is has a 21-3 record at home and when they get the crowd going, they are very tough to beat.
Golden State, on the other hand, has been one of the best road teams in the NBA. Although they lost to Houston last night, they still have a 14-12 road record, which is tied for the most road wins in the NBA.
Although the Thunder have the second-best record in the west, they are far from invincible. They lost at Cleveland on Saturday and have recently struggled on defense. Oklahoma City has given up at least 95 points in eight of their last ten games.
With offensive stars like Kevin Durant and Russel Westbrook, they usually have the firepower to win even if they are not stout on defense. If the offense is not clicking on all cylinders, however, the Thunder are very beatable.
The Warriors should be able to take advantage of the lax Thunder defense. Golden State is averaging 101 points per game, and with the shooting of Stephen Curry, Klay Thompson and Jarrett Jack, the Warriors will put up points against the Thunder.
Another thing Golden State has going for them is that they have something to prove. The Warriors were embarrassed by the Rockets on Tuesday night by giving up 140 points.
Even though this the second game of a road back-to-back, look for the Warriors to come out strong and firing on all cylinders in order to make people forget about their performance against Houston.
This game will feature two of the best offenses in the NBA and there will be great outside shooters on both sides. The difference will be which team can establish the more dominant low-post presence.
David Lee has been an asset for the Warriors all season. Lee is shooting 51.8 percent from the field and is averaging a double-double with 19.4 points per game and 11 rebounds per game.
Look for Lee to continue his good play and outperform Thunder big men Kendrick Perkins and Serge Ibaka and lead the Warriors to an upset of the Thunder.
These are the dog days of February when teams are clawing to get to the All-Star break. It is a time when elite teams like the Thunder are most susceptible to an upset and look for that to manifest itself tonight.