Danario Alexander will look to have his third massive fantasy performance in a row against the Baltimore Ravens secondary at home in Week 12. The San Diego Chargers’ new addition stands 6’5” and fits the typical Chargers mold at wideout, even eliciting comparisons to the recently departed Vincent Jackson.
He’s big, strong, fast and productive.
Last season in a Chargers uniform, Jackson caught 60 passes for 1,106 yards and nine touchdowns, marking his third time topping the 1,000-yard benchmark. Alexander has 291 yards and three touchdowns on 15 catches—in three games.
Projected over 16 contests, his stat line would read as follows: 80 catches, 1,552 yards and 16 touchdowns. Pretty good numbers for a waiver-wire receiver, no?
After scoring three touchdowns in his last two games, DX has to have the Ravens’ attention. Week 12 could be his first down week since his San Diego breakout because of that, but Malcom Floyd would probably go off on the other side of the field.
Nevertheless, Alexander is the Chargers wide receiver most likely to put up big numbers this week and is a viable fantasy start as a receiver with incredible upside. Baltimore has allowed five touchdowns to wide receivers in its last five games.
Conversely, it has allowed one touchdown to a tight end: Owen Daniels in Week 7. Antonio Gates may experience another one of his down games in Week 12.
Since the Ravens’ bye week, they have shut opposing running backs out of the end zone. Against the Cleveland Browns, Oakland Raiders and Pittsburgh Steelers, Baltimore has allowed 71 total rushing attempts for 274 yards (3.9 avg) and at least six catches in each of those contests.
Ronnie Brown might actually be a better start than Ryan Mathews this week based on Brown’s third-down role in the San Diego offense. Baltimore has forced quarterbacks into five turnovers in the last three weeks, but Philip Rivers may throw enough to make himself fantasy-relevant this week.
He should also throw enough to make the Ravens defense fantasy-relevant this week. Baltimore may have to score on defense—like it has in each of the last two weeks—to win this game and make up for quarterback Joe Flacco’s predictable road deficiencies.
Flacco is averaging 176.6 passing yards per game on the road with three touchdowns and five turnovers, which absolutely caps the fantasy value of the Ravens passing game.
Running back Ray Rice is a fantasy must-start, but expectations for his production should be tempered in Week 12. San Diego has allowed a total of two touchdowns to running backs in its last six games. The Chargers D/ST is worth a play this week as a wager that Flacco will underperform on the road again.
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