Justin Blackmon: Fantasy Owners Shouldn't Trust Jaguars WR in Week 12

Timothy Rapp@@TRappaRTFeatured ColumnistNovember 21, 2012

HOUSTON, TX - NOVEMBER 18:  Justin Blackmon #14 of the Jacksonville Jaguars makes a catch over Brice McCain #21 of the Houston Texans at Reliant Stadium on November 18, 2012 in Houston, Texas. Houston wins 43-37 in overtime. (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
Bob Levey/Getty Images

Friends, we need to talk, and it's because I'm worried about you. I'm worried because you all saw Justin Blackmon have a huge game this weekend for the Jacksonville Jaguars and now you're all scrambling to add him on the waiver wire.

I've got to tell you, I just don't trust the guy. Something doesn't add up. I think you'll get burned by him, I really do.

Some of you I can't prevent from making this mistake. Today alone, 126,107 people have added him in Yahoo! leagues. Over at ESPN, he's seen a nine percent increase in ownership. Folks are going crazy about this guy all of a sudden.

Yes, I know that he blew up on Sunday, catching seven passes for 236 yards and two touchdowns. It was an afternoon worth 29.6 fantasy points in standard-scoring leagues. However, that one afternoon also represented nearly half of the fantasy points he has this year.

In other words, where were you for the first nine games of the season, Mr. Blackmon?

Listen, there are plenty of more intriguing players on the waiver wire, including three other Jaguars I'd rather have this week. I know, because I may or may not have already written about this week's top waiver options.

Two fantasy articles for the price of one? I really do spoil you all.

Now, I get that Blackmon has an appealing matchup against the Tennessee Titans this week, a team that gives up 23.2 fantasy points to opposing wide receivers per week in standard-scoring leagues (20th in the NFL).

That's all fine and dandy—and you can even make the claim that Blackmon has better chemistry with Chad Henne if you are so intuitive that you can recognize such things after just one game—but I'd still prefer Cecil Shorts if I was picking up a Jaguars receiver this week, or Danario Alexander if I needed a receiver in general. 

Shorts now has double-digit fantasy points in four of his past five games, while Alexander has 41 points in the past two weeks. Call me crazy, but I'd like to see Blackmon at least finish with double-digit fantasy points two weeks in a row before I get all excited about him.

I think the kid has talent, and he should develop into a very nice wide receiver. However, I'm not willing to ignore nine games of data because he suddenly showed up in Week 11. Sorry, but that's not my style.

I hope you don't think me too forward in this Blackmon intervention, friends. I'm only looking out for your best interests, I swear. Add Blackmon if the temptation is too strong for you to resist, but don't say I didn't warn you.


Hit me up on Twitter—my tweets predict crazy things like Baylor upsets. Seriously.

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