The Colts also ride a 4-0 ATS streak in their past four visits to Boston, as they get nine points from oddsmakers at most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark.com.
Andrew Luck has been the story for the Indianapolis Colts, and deservedly so. The rookie quarterback has been sensational this season, and at 6-3 SU and ATS, he has led the Colts to triple their win total from last season through just nine games.
But credit is also due to the defense which has allowed just 14 points per game over the Colts’ 4-0 SU and ATS streak.
They have also bitten very hard as an underdog, going 8-3 ATS in their past 11 games in this situation, according to the NFL Week 11 trends.
New England has won four of its last five games but is just 2-3 ATS over that stretch. While the offense has put up more points than any other team this season, averaging 33.2 points per game, the passing defense has been a major concern as the Patriots are allowing 285.33 passing yards per game.
The Patriots have narrowly escaped their last two games as big home favorites with a 37-31 win last week against Buffalo and a 29-26 overtime win against the New York Jets in Week 7 (0-2 ATS in those two games).
Indianapolis is 6-2 ATS in its last eight games against New England, but can Luck pick up where Peyton Manning left off in this quarterback rivalry?
Nine points seems like a lot, but when you consider that Indianapolis’ last four wins have come against teams with a combined record of 11-26, it is fair to wonder how the Colts will handle an elite team.
But considering the Patriots’ propensity to let opposing teams stay close, we like Andrew Luck to earn Indianapolis a cover against this weak secondary, whether it comes in a shootout type of game or in the form of a backdoor cover with a late touchdown in a two-score game.
PICK: Indianapolis +9 (courtesy of PickShark.com)