Andrew Luck: Realistic Fantasy Expectations for Rookie QB For Week 9 and Beyond

Ryan DavenportContributor INovember 4, 2012

EAST RUTHERFORD, NJ - OCTOBER 14:  Andrew Luck #12 of the Indianapolis Colts passes under pressure from Muhammad Wilkerson #96 the New York Jets at MetLife Stadium on October 14, 2012 in East Rutherford, New Jersey.  (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
Nick Laham/Getty Images

Eight weeks in, the can't-miss kid has been good, and he's only going to get better from here.

That's because the Indianapolis Colts are finally looking like they've gotten used to having a guy not named Peyton Manning under center, and the results have started to come.

Andrew Luck, the No. 1 overall pick from the 2012 NFL draft, entered the league with arguably the highest expectations of any rookie in league history, and thus far, he hasn't disappointed.

The Colts are 4-3 heading into their Week 9 matchup with the surging Miami Dolphins, who are looking for their fourth consecutive win. But if his first eight games have been any indication of what's to come, Luck could be in the process of leading Indy to an overwhelmingly surprising postseason berth.

As of now, according to the NFL's official fantasy leaders, Luck ranks 11th among all quarterbacks in terms of fantasy production going into the Miami game, but that will change as time goes on.

In fact, in the past two weeks, the former Stanford University star has been the sixth-best fantasy quarterback in pro football, and he's only going to move up that list from here.

Luck's command of Indy's offense has been obvious as of late, as the Colts' passing attack is among the NFL's top 10. This speaks volumes about how quickly the 23-year-old has been able to develop chemistry with his receivers, and produce victories despite the absence of head coach Chuck Pagano.

Now, with the Colts set to take on a team led by another rookie quarterback in Ryan Tannehill, Luck has the opportunity to put Indianapolis in a favorable position to take early control of one of the AFC Wild Card berths, which would be the first of many postseason appearances for Luck down the road.

Today, Luck will rack up big numbers against Miami, which boasts one of the league's weakest passing defenses, as the Dolphins are allowing an average of 281 yards a game through the air. Yet that's only the beginning.

Going forward, Luck will be among the most consistent fantasy quarterbacks for the rest of the season. He's formed dangerous partnerships with longtime star receiver Reggie Wayne, as well as rookie T.Y. Hilton, who appears to be on the verge of being a difference-maker for the Colts.

As far as fantasy numbers go, Luck won't be able to keep up with the man he'll be forever linked to—Robert Griffin III, the No. 2 overall pick from 2012—at least not this year, as he'll never be the runner that the Skins' stud rookie is.

But that's okay with him, because Luck isn't even in the process of becoming one of the most dominant fantasy quarterbacks in recent memory—he's already there.

And his dream rookie season will continue with a shining performance against Miami in Week 9.