New York Giants

Andre Brown: Updated Fantasy Football Analysis & Outlook

CHARLOTTE, NC - SEPTEMBER 20:  Andre Brown #35 of the New York Giants breaks away from Charles Godfrey #30 of the Carolina Panthers for a long gain during play at Bank of America Stadium on September 20, 2012 in Charlotte, North Carolina.  (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)
Grant Halverson/Getty Images
Jesse ReedCorrespondent ISeptember 25, 2012

New York Giants running back Andre Brown had a huge game for fantasy football owners in Week 3, but with Ahmad Bradshaw now healthy and ready to play, it's not likely that Brown will have many games like it the rest of the season. 

CBSSports.com's Alex Raskins reports:

Ahmad Bradshaw, who Brown replaced on Thursday, has been cleared to return to practice...Brown has gained 184 yards on 33 carries since Bradshaw went down, but coach Tom Coughlin has previously said that he envisions the two receiving carries along with rookie David Wilson going forward.

The Giants are going to operate a running-back-by-committee offense, and Brown won't be the featured back. 

So, what does this mean for fantasy football?

 

Profile

Brown isn't a burgeoning rookie. He's been in the NFL since 2009 after getting picked up by the Giants in the fourth round of the 2009 NFL draft out of North Carolina State.

He bounced around the league, landing on four teams in 2010 before coming back to New York in 2011. In four years, he has only had one career start—last week's breakout game in Carolina. In fact, Brown had only logged 2 carries for -1 yard in the NFL before that game. 

Brown was a decent college running back, compiling 2,539 yards and 22 touchdowns on 523 carries, but it's clear from where he was drafted that teams didn't see him as a starting-caliber running back in 2009. 

 

Fantasy Outlook

Ahmad Bradshaw is sure to eat into Brown's production. 

Even when the Giants had Bradshaw and Brandon Jacobs, Tom Coughlin always spit carries between the two runners. 

That's not going to change any time soon. 

Furthermore, the Giants are and will continue to be a pass-first team. Eli Manning and the passing game are the team's primary means of producing offense. Period. 

The Giants travel to face the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 4. The Eagles have been really good at defending the pass and are currently the No. 3 defense in the NFL in this category. Their defense hasn't been as solid against the run (No. 16 in the NFL), and the Giants may try to exploit this fact.

In Week 5, the Giants host the Cleveland Browns—another team with a weak run defense. Brown may put up decent numbers against these two teams, depending on how many snaps he gets and how often the Giants run the ball. 

All bets are off in Week 6, when the Giants travel to Candlestick Park to face the San Francisco 49ers—one of the best run defenses in the NFL. 

 

Analysis

You shouldn't expect Brown to be a fantasy stud every week. His big game came against the Carolina Panthers—the No. 27 ranked run defense in the NFL. 

Brown was the Giants' primary option at the running back position during that game, too, and now that Bradshaw is back and raring to go, Brown's production will dramatically fall. He won't be putting up 90 yards and a touchdown every game like many of the top running backs. 

It would be a smart move to keep Brown on your bench the rest of the season, though. If Bradshaw gets banged up again, Brown will be worthy of a start. Until that time, though, you should be looking elsewhere at the running back position.

 

Follow me on Twitter @JesseReed78

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