Week 2 NFL Betting Trends: Chargers, 49ers Own Perfect Point Spread Angles

OddsShark.comFeatured ColumnistSeptember 13, 2012

SAN DIEGO, CA - AUGUST 18: Running back Jacob Hester #22 of the San Diego Chargers is congratulated by Kory Sperry #82 (L) and Mike Willie #83 after Hester's four yard touchdown run in the fourth quarter against the Dallas Cowboys at Qualcomm Stadium on August 18, 2012 in San Diego, California.  The Chargers won 28-20.  (Photo by Stephen Dunn/Getty Images)
Stephen Dunn/Getty Images

Following trends in Week 1 did not lead to many pick 'em pool victories or huge profits at the Vegas sportsbook window.

But none of those failed angles were 100 percent perfect like the ones we see in Week 2.

Take the San Diego Chargers for example. They host the Tennessee Titans as six-point favorites, according to the NFL odds menu at OddsShark.com. They are a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS (against the spread) against the Titans since 1998.

The same game offers another 100 percent trend, this time on the total. The last 10 times the Chargers have been favored at home, the result has been a winning UNDER bet. That's 10-0 for everyone counting at home.

It's a similar story in San Francisco where the 49ers are eight-point home favorites to the Detroit Lions. These teams have met here 10 times since 1981, according to the Week 2 NFL trends sheet and the Lions have never won. In those 10 games, there has never been an OVER play (9-0-1 favoring the UNDER).

There's more. The Giants host the Buccaneers Sunday and many are siding with New York as eight-point favorites. But the perfect angle involves the UNDER bet. These teams have met 12 times since 1984 and there has never been an OVER play. There was a single push and 11 UNDERs. Tampa Bay is also riding a perfect seven-game road losing streak, according to the matchup detail on that game at OddsShark.com.

And in Miami, something is happening that hasn't been witnessed in seven seasons: The Oakland Raiders are a road favorite. They have not been in that role since Week 14 of 2005 and they lay 2.5 points against the Dolphins.

But think twice before backing the Raiders as a favorite, whether at home or on the road. In 20 games as a favorite dating back four years, Oakland is 3-16-1 ATS—just three covers in 20 tries.

There are many other one-sided trends at play in Week 2. The OVER has prevailed the past four times the Patriots and Cardinals have played and New England has destroyed 'Zona to the tune of 128-33 in those games.

And the Bengals are 100 percent imperfect lately when favored by eight or more points, like they are home to the Browns. Cincy is a bankroll-draining 0-6 ATS in those games.