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Brandon Roy was once one of the most promising young guards in the NBA, and he put together three straight seasons of elite shooting guard play for the Portland Trail Blazers.
However, he began feeling the effects of his bad knees in his fifth NBA season. Roy played just 47 games in 2010-2011, starting less than half. It was the first season Roy hadn't started all of his games since he came off the bench twice as a rookie. Roy's production also plummeted from 21.5 to 12.2 points per game.
Prior to last season, Roy didn't just say he would be missing some time healing up from an injury, or even taking the year off the get treatment and rest. Roy made the decision to retire as a 27-year-old NBA guard. He knew there was no amount of treatment or rest that would make his knees better.
Now, one year later, he is attempting a comeback.
At two years for $10 million, a 28-year-old, three-time All-Star seems like a steal. If the procedures Roy has had on his knees hold up and he can perform near the way he was a few years ago, it will be just that. There is, however, the possibility that Roy, like the best of us, is overestimating his own body and will be unable to return to NBA form.
The sheer range of possibilities that come out of this comeback make it the NBA's biggest offseason gamble in 2012.