Gabby Douglas: Analyzing London 2012 Gold Medal Odds for USA Gymnast

Zach Kruse@@zachkruse2Senior Analyst IJuly 26, 2012

SAN JOSE, CA - JUNE 29:  Gabrielle Douglas reacts after competing on the beam during day 2 of the 2012 U.S. Olympic Gymnastics Team Trials at HP Pavilion on June 28, 2012 in San Jose, California.  (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
Ronald Martinez/Getty Images

No star has risen higher leading up to the 2012 Olympic Games than that of 16-year-old Gabby Douglas, an American gymnast who burst onto the scene in 2011 and now has her sights set on gold medal(s) in London this summer. 

While most eyes have been on Jordyn Wieber for the better part of four years—Wieber's first ever win came when she was just 13—Douglas may now be the top gymnast America brings to London. 

Below, we examine Douglas' odds of winning gold medals in several events at the 2012 Games.


Uneven Bars

There's few currently better at the uneven bars, and Douglas will enter the 2012 Olympics as one of the favorites to win gold in this event. 

After a disappointing fifth place finish in the uneven bars at the 2011 world championships—which took place before she really broke out—Douglas took home first place honors at the 2012 U.S. championships.

She continued that run into the Olympic Trials in San Jose this past June, and now most think she's the one of the favorites—alongside Russians Viktoria Komova and Aliya Mustafina and Great Britain's Beth Tweddle—to win gold in London. 


All-Around Individual

The rise of Douglas culminated at the Olympic Trials, where she surprisingly won the all-around individual gold medal. Douglas beat out favorite Jordyn Wieber by 0.1 points, cementing herself as one of the contenders for gold in London. 

Wieber still presents her best competition for the top spot, but Douglas' win in San Jose was far from a fluke. In fact, Douglas even had a slip-up during the uneven bars and still recovered. At this point, picking either Wieber or Douglas is more of a toss-up than anything. 



Not once in 16 years has the United States women's gymnastics team been this strong heading into an Olympic Games. Consider the medal-winning opportunities from the American's five-women roster.

Douglas is a good bet to win a medal in the uneven bars, and she'll compete heavily for the all-around gold. Wieber will be right with Douglas in many of the events, and she's also a favorite for the individual title. 

But there's also McKayla Maroney, who is arguably the top woman in the world on the vault, and Aly Raisman, a top contender for the floor exercise gold. 

All around, the Americans are stacked. There will be plenty of competition, and there's no forgetting that the United States hasn't won gold since 1996. A lot of pressure will be placed on these five, but there hasn't been a more talented team from the United States in 16 years.