Miami Heat: Ranking Players' Odds of Winning 2012 Finals MVP If Heat Win Game 5

Peter EmerickSenior Writer IIJune 20, 2012

Miami Heat: Ranking Players' Odds of Winning 2012 Finals MVP If Heat Win Game 5

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    The Miami Heat are just one win away from being crowned the 2012 NBA champions.

    If the Heat manage to knock off the Oklahoma City Thunder on Thursday night in AmericanAirlines Arena, it will be time also hand out the 2012 NBA Finals MVP award.

    While there are a few players who are deserving of being mentioned in the Finals MVP conversation, there's undoubtedly a few names that rise to the top.

    Ahead is a ranking of the the top five Heat players and their odds of winning the 2012 NBA Finals MVP trophy if the Heat win Game 5. 

5. Shane Battier: 5-to-1 (16.7 Percent Chance)

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    2012 NBA Finals Stats: 11.0 PPG, 2.5 RPG, 66.7 FG%, 64.7 3PFG%

    If the Miami Heat win the 2012 NBA title, Shane Battier should get an honorary NBA Finals MVP trophy for his performances in Games 1 and 2 of the series.

    With 17 points in each game, while shooting 69.3 percent from beyond the arc, Battier helped the Heat leave Oklahoma City with a pivotal road win.

    While Battier's production and efficiency has decreased over in Games 2 and 3, he's still doing what the Heat need him to do to win games, and that's all that's important.

    Battier's most likely not going to win this year's NBA Finals MVP, but that doesn't mean he hasn't been the Heat's most valuable player from time to time during this series. 

4. Mario Chalmers: 5-to-1 (16.7 Percent Chance)

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    2012 NBA Finals Stats: 10.5 PPG, 3.3 APG, 2.8 RPG, 43.2 FG%, 31.6 3PFG%

    Before Game 4 on Tuesday night, Mario Chalmers might not have even seen his name on this list, but after his 25-point explosion, he's earned the No. 4 spot on this list.

    Chalmers' offensive production in Game 4 was a major reason why the Heat were able to pull out the win, after being down 14 points to start the second quarter.

    12 of Chalmers' 25 points came in the fourth quarter, when the Heat were fighting back and forth with the Thunder to take control of the pivotal game.

    Unless Chalmers goes off for 30-plus points in Game 5 and the Heat win, there's not a high likelihood that he'll walk away with the 2012 NBA Finals MVP trophy, but that doesn't mean he hasn't been integral to the Heat's success. 

3. Chris Bosh: 4-to-1 (20 Percent Chance)

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    2012 NBA Finals Stats: 12.3 PPG, 10.0 RPG, 39.6 FG%, 83.3 FT%

    Chris Bosh has rebounded quite nicely from the abdominal strain that kept him out a majority of the postseason. 

    While he certainly isn't at the same level he was before he went down with the injury, he's finding ways to help the Heat win, and he's doing so by being the emotional spark the Heat have needed as of late.

    In addition to diving for loose balls and out-hustling the Thunder on the offensive glass, Bosh is quietly averaging a double-double for the finals, and that's quite an impressive feat.

    Bosh certainly deserves some attention for his impressive performance in the 2012 NBA Finals so far, but unfortunately it won't be enough to earn him his first NBA Finals MVP award. 

2. Dwyane Wade: 1-to-1 (50 Percent Chance)

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    2012 NBA Finals Stats: 23.3 PPG, 5.8 APG, 5.5 RPG, 41.3 FG%, 80.6 FT%

    Dwyane Wade has finally figured out how to put together two complete halves of basketball, and it couldn't have come at a better time for the Heat.

    It seems like when LeBron James is struggling, Wade steps up his offensive production, and vice versa.

    Wade and LeBron play off each other extremely well, and that's at the core of what makes them such a dangerous and dynamic duo.

    What Wade is doing best is getting to the line and actually hitting 80-plus percent of his free throws. Wade is getting to the line more times than he averaged in the regular season, and his aggressive approach is a major reason why the Heat are one win away from the 2012 NBA title.

    Unfortunately for Wade, there's one player on the Heat who's outplaying him, and he's the player who will most likely be keeping Wade from winning his second NBA Finals MVP. 

1. LeBron James: 1-to-5 (83.3 Percent Chance)

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    2012 NBA Finals Stats: 29.3 PPG, 10.0 RPG, 6.0 APG, 47.2 FG%, 81.1 FT%

    It seems like it's finally LeBron James' time to win his first of what could be many NBA titles, and in doing so he also has a great chance at capturing his first NBA Finals MVP of his career.

    Aside from the impressive production, LeBron is more importantly leading the Miami Heat. LeBron is taking clutch shots, and he's even hitting some of them.

    There's no doubt that LeBron is a different player this season, and that's showing in the way he's carried himself through the postseason and more importantly in the 2012 NBA Finals.

    Unless LeBron sits out Game 5 or goes 0-for-20 from the field, there's no way that he won't walk out of AmericanAirlines Arena without the 2012 NBA Finals MVP trophy in his hands, as long as the Heat manage to knock off the Thunder as well.

    If the way LeBron has played in the postseason is a sign of things to come for the King, then the NBA better get ready for multiple NBA titles going through South Beach.