NBA Lottery Odds 2012: Why the Warriors Need to Make Trade to Secure Pick

Matt ShetlerCorrespondent IMay 28, 2012

OAKLAND, CA - FEBRUARY 15:  Stephen Curry #30, David Lee #10, Dorell Wright #1 and Monta Ellis #8 of the Golden State Warriors celebrate after a basket during their game against the Portland Trail Blazers at Oracle Arena on February 15, 2012 in Oakland, California. NOTE TO USER: User expressly acknowledges and agrees that, by downloading and or using this photograph, User is consenting to the terms and conditions of the Getty Images License Agreement.  (Photo by Ezra Shaw/Getty Images)
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Other than the handful of teams that have a legitimate chance of landing the No. 1 overall pick and the right to draft Kentucky's Anthony Davis, perhaps no team has as much interest in 2012 NBA Draft Lottery than the Golden State Warriors.

For the Warriors, it all comes down to whether or not they get lucky in the lottery on May 30, as if they fall out of the top seven in the draft order, their pick becomes the property of the Utah Jazz.

It’s been rumored that the Warriors are in discussions with Utah to make a trade that will allow Golden State to keep their pick no matter how the lottery plays out and that’s something that Warriors’ general manager Bob Myers must make happen.

ESPN’s Marc Stein reported earlier last week that the two franchises were talking trade and something could be completed before May 30.

The pick everyone is talking about was originally traded to New Jersey when the Warriors acquired point guard Marcus Williams. The Nets then shipped that pick to Utah as part of the Deron Williams trade last year.

There’s only a 28 percent chance the Jazz gets the draft choice this year, as the only way the Warriors lose this year's first-rounder is if they miss out on one of the top three picks and one of the seven teams slotted behind them in the lottery wins one of the top three picks instead.

Yet stranger things have happened and for the Warriors it’s not worth the risk of losing a top of the lottery pick in what is considered a very deep and talented draft.

With a pick that could fall in the top eight, the Warriors could fill their need for a productive wing player.

At that point in the draft, the likes of North Carolina’s Harrison Barnes, Baylor’s Perry Jones III or other very talented options could be sitting there for them.

The same can’t be said for Golden State’s other first-round selection at No. 30, where they may not be able to fill that need.

Just assuming that’s the direction the Warriors go with their pick, as they could always elect to go for a big man, a potential starting lineup of Stephen Curry at the point, Klay Thompson at the 2, Barnes or Jones at the 3, David Lee at the 4 and Andrew Bogut in the middle would look very nice on paper.

While teams never like to sit out the postseason, this is a good year to have a high draft pick as there is a ton of talent on the board.

Come the lottery, the Warriors could be in a very good position to add a big piece to the franchise’s future and get this team back into playoff contention.

That’s something that Myers simply can’t leave to chance.