I'll Have Another Odds: Why Kentucky Derby Winner Is Doomed at Preakness 2012

Nicholas GossCorrespondent IMay 19, 2012

BALTIMORE, MD - MAY 17:  Exercise rider Jonny Garcia takes I'll Have Another over the track in preparation for the 137th Preakness Stakes at Pimlico Race Course on May 17, 2012 in Baltimore, Maryland.  (Photo by Rob Carr/Getty Images)
Rob Carr/Getty Images

I'll Have Another will have a difficult time winning the Preakness Stakes on Saturday and moving one victory away from a historic Triple Crown.

The Kentucky Derby winner starts Saturday with 5-2 odds to win at Pimlico, but the horse is facing some major disadvantages at the Preakness. 

I'll Have Another will start at post position No. 9, which in a small 11-horse field, is not a good spot to begin the race.

It's crucial that I'll Have Another starts off strong because losing ground at the Preakness will spell disaster. 

I'll Have Another doesn't have the speed to makeup ground against several of the fast horses in this year's Preakness field.

One of those speedy horses is Bodemeister, the horse of the famous trainer Bob Baffert. I'll Have Another was lucky to barely beat Bodemeister in the final moments at Churchill Downs, but the Derby winner won't be so fortunate at Pimlico.

Bodemeister is starting out of the No. 8 post position, which is an ideal position for the horse to get out to a fast start and run away from the field with ease.

I'll Have Another will be under immense pressure to win this race and continue its Triple Crown pursuit, and this will put a lot of pressure on jockey Mario Gutierrez.

Gutierrez will have to manage his horse well if he falls behind early, and that would be a very difficult challenge for him.

Against top competition and running on a course that doesn't suit his talents to the fullest, I'll Have Another will lose at the Preakness and see his Triple Crown dreams end.