B/R NFL 1,000: Top 32 Kickers
Can kickers be graded on numbers alone, or do you have to really dig in and scout each player?
If the NFL is to ever adopt a "Moneyball"-like scouting method, kickers could be scouted from a purely numerical formula—which is why we're using an awesome statistic for kickers in this series. Cold Hard Football Facts introduced it back in 2006 and we're calling it the Carlson Rating, after the site contributor who devised it, Mike Carlson.
The Carlson Rating gives kickers more credit for long conversions and penalizes them more for short misses, breaking down attempts into those less than 40 yards, those from 40 to 50 yards and those over 50 yards. We've applied the formula to 2011 kicks as part of our scores for these rankings.
The rankings are part of the B/R NFL 1,000. The series offers an in-depth look at every position in the NFL, breaking down players' skills in a way never before seen on the Internet.
B/R 1,000 rankings don't assess who had the best year or even who has the most potential. Rather, players—in this case, kickers—are judged on their current skills and mechanics, based on study of the 2011 NFL season only.
The top 32 kickers have been scored in five criteria, including the Carlson Rating (Carlson's name for the stat is a bit more crude). In the slides that follow, we'll explain each player's strengths and weaknesses as the final ranking is revealed.
Special thanks to ProFootballFocus.com for providing kicking statistics.
32. Ryan Longwell, Minnesota Vikings
1 of 32Accuracy
Longwell connected on 75.9 percent of his kicks in 2011 but was just 6-of-11 between 40 and 49 yards.
Kickoff Power
Kickoffs ranked No. 31 in the NFL with an average of 65.2 yards.
Field-Goal Power
Struggled in the 40- to 49-yard range but did well on kicks over 50 yards—connecting on 2-of-3 kicks at that distance.
Hang Time
A top hang time of 4.20 seconds ranks Longwell among the worst kickers in the league.
Carlson Rating
The combined ranking of Longwell's accuracy, with more weight for longer kicks, ranks him near the bottom of the NFL's kickers in this special statistic (see opening slide for more info).
Overall
31. Shaun Suisham, Pittsburgh Steelers
2 of 32Accuracy
Hitting on just 76.5 percent of his kicks, Suisham's accuracy—especially outside of 30 yards—is a concern.
Kickoff Power
Averaged 69.2 yards per kickoff—just slightly above average in 2011.
Field-Goal Power
Attempted two kicks over 50 yards, hitting on one of them.
Hang Time
His best was 4.40 seconds in 2011.
Carlson Rating
His accuracy inside 29 yards (10-of-10) was great, but his two misses from 30 to 39 yards and his five misses (7-of-12) from 40 to 49 yards keep his score down.
Overall
30. Jay Feely, Arizona Cardinals
3 of 32Accuracy
Connected on almost 80 percent of his kicks in 2011 but missed two inside 39 yards and another two inside 49 yards.
Kickoff Power
Pinned opponents to their 21.6-yard line on average, while kicking an average of 69.5 yards.
Field-Goal Power
Feely isn't known for his range, as proved by the Cardinals only letting him trot out for two field goals of over 50 yards.
Hang Time
A hang time of 4.20 seconds is the football equivalent of baseball's "Mendoza Line." Feely's average hang time, primarily in a dome, isn't on par with the rest of his game.
Carlson Rating
Misses on kicks inside 49 yards keep Feely's score from being higher.
Overall
Has always been a solid kicker, but for playing in a dome you expect more accuracy on intermediate kicks between 30 and 49 yards. At that range, Feely was 9-of-13.
29. Lawrence Tynes, New York Giants
4 of 32Accuracy
Tynes connected on 79.4 percent of his kicks in 2011, including 8-of-10 in the playoffs. His regular-season completion is below average.
Kickoff Power
Averaged just 66.7 yards per kickoff, with opponents starting at their own 22.5-yard line on average.
Field-Goal Power
Connected on 44.4 percent of his kicks 40 yards or longer.
Hang Time
A peak hang time of 4.70 seconds put him near the top of the NFL pecking order. Impressively, his best kicks actually came in an outdoor stadium.
Carlson Rating
Tynes was brilliant in short range (23-of-25) but struggled with kicks past the 40-yard mark.
Overall
Tynes is like a golfer who is excellent on the greens but has a poor game off the tee. When put in close range he's deadly.
28. John Kasay, New Orleans Saints
5 of 32Accuracy
Kasay hit on 100 percent of his kicks within 39 yards, going 20-of-20.
Kickoff Power
The Saints use punter Thomas Morstead to handle kickoffs.
Field-Goal Power
Just 8-of-14 from distances greater than 40 yards during the 2011 season.
Hang Time
Morstead handles kickoffs.
Carlson Rating
Kasay's accuracy inside of 40 yards is superb, but kicking inside a dome hasn't helped his case for missing kicks longer than 40.
Overall
Kasay is a field-tested kicker who has good accuracy, but limited range. He is no longer an asset on kickoffs.
27. Olindo Mare, Carolina Panthers
6 of 32Accuracy
Mare hit on 78.6 percent of his kicks in 2011 but missed three inside 39 yards.
Kickoff Power
His kickoffs traveled an average of 68.3 yards. Opponents' average starting point was their 22-yard line.
Field-Goal Power
Just 8-of-11 on kicks from over 40 yards, with no made kicks over 50 yards.
Hang Time
With a top hang time of 4.50 seconds, Mare comes in just over the league average.
Carlson Rating
Accuracy inside 30 yards and between 40 to 49 yards was excellent, but he struggled to connect on intermediate kicks.
Overall
A solid all-around kicker, Mare's intermediate inaccuracy and lack of elite power keep his score down.
26. Graham Gano, Washington Redskins
7 of 32Accuracy
Gano made 75.6 percent of his kicks in 2011, missing five within 39 yards.
Kickoff Power
His kicks catch a ton of air, but his distance is merely average.
Field-Goal Power
Hit on 12-of-17 kicks longer than 40 yards, with two misses longer than 50 yards. He did knock down the second-longest kick of the year—a 59-yarder.
Hang Time
The ball doesn't go far, but his max caught a stunning 4.67 seconds of air.
Carlson Rating
Gano's 2011 misses in the 30- to 39-yard range (5-of-9) keep his score from being much higher in this area.
Overall
Gano's failure to rack up touchbacks could cause him to lose his job on kickoffs, but he's still solid as a field-goal kicker.
25. Neil Rackers, Houston Texans
8 of 32Accuracy
Knocked down 83.3 percent of his kicks in 2011, including 26-of-27 inside 29 yards.
Kickoff Power
Had just 22 touchbacks and an average of 64.8 yards per kick.
Field-Goal Power
Was 9-of-15 on kicks over 40 yards, and hit on 4-of-6 over 50 yards.
Hang Time
His peak 4.40-second hang time was at the league average.
Carlson Rating
Rackers' accuracy ranks high, as does his range. On intermediate kicks (40 to 49 yards) he was just 5-of-9.
Overall
A high-scoring kicker, Rackers is a consistent force in the kickoff and field-goal game. His work on kicks 40 yards or deeper could be improved, as could his kickoff range.
24. Billy Cundiff, Baltimore Ravens
9 of 32Accuracy
Cundiff's 76.2 percent accuracy puts him in the middle of the pack among NFL kickers.
Kickoff Power
With 47 touchbacks and an average kick of almost 70 yards in 2011, Cundiff comes in as a very good kickoff specialist.
Field-Goal Power
Cundiff attempted six kicks over 50 yards this year—showing the Ravens have great confidence in his leg power. But he only made one.
Hang Time
A top hang time of 4.50 seconds puts Cundiff near the top among 2011's kickers.
Carlson Rating
Cundiff's failure to connect on kicks over 50 yards (1-of-6) hides the fact that he was spot-on inside 30 yards (11-of-11) and missed only five of 25 attempts between 30 and 50 yards.
Overall
Cundiff does a lot well, but his accuracy on kicks over 50 yards keeps his score low.
23. Nick Folk, New York Jets
10 of 32Accuracy
Folk made just 76 percent of his kicks in 2011. The Jets will expect more in 2012.
Kickoff Power
Averaged 64.3 yards per kickoff, with 17 touchbacks. This was below the NFL average and allowed opponents, on average, to start near their own 21-yard line.
Field-Goal Power
The Jets only asked Folk to attempt six kicks over 50 yards in 2011, and he made three. He was 5-of-7 when kicking between 40 and 50 yards.
Hang Time
His superb hang time (maximum of 4.70 seconds) allowed the Jets' special teams gunners to get downfield and stymie runbacks.
Carlson Rating
Five of his six misses came on attempts over 40 yards.
Overall
Folk wasn't a huge problem for the Jets, but he wasn't a strength either. His intermediate accuracy (11-of-12 between 20 and 40 yards) is great, but deeper than that he's a question mark.
22. Josh Brown, St. Louis Rams
11 of 32Accuracy
Hitting on just 75 percent of his kicks in 2011, Brown's accuracy—especially outside of 30 yards—is a concern.
Kickoff Power
Slightly above average, with his kicks traveling an average of 67.2 yards. He had just 14 touchbacks.
Field-Goal Power
Struggled on kicks over 40 yards, where he was just 8-of-14. Brown's power is above average, but it's worth noting he kicks mostly in a dome.
Hang Time
Kicking in a dome helps, but Brown's best hang time was a tied for a league-best five seconds.
Carlson Rating
Put it all together and Brown's score is right in the middle. He missed key kicks deep (0-of-2) and struggled some in that all-important 40- to 50-yard range.
Overall
Brown kicks very well at home, but on the road he's rarely asked to kick field goals over 40 yards. The Rams are not comfortable with Brown's leg outside of the controlled environment.
21. Phil Dawson, Cleveland Browns
12 of 32Accuracy
Dawson connected on 82.8 percent of his field-goal attempts, but missed three of his 13 attempts inside the 40-yard line.
Kickoff Power
Dawson is not a kickoff guy, averaging 62.7 yards per kickoff. The Browns could look to add a player to handle kickoff duties.
Field-Goal Power
Dawson was asked to attempt eight kicks over 50 yards, and he nailed seven of them.
Hang Time
Much like his kickoff power, Dawson doesn't show great hang time. His max was just 4.3 seconds.
Carlson Rating
Since the statistic gives more credit to long kicks made and missed, Dawson scores very well. He hit on 14-of-16 kicks over 40 yards.
Overall
Dawson has been in the NFL since 1998, so you're not going to rattle him. His accuracy and leg strength on field goals are still elite. Were he better on kickoffs, Dawson could be ranked in the top 10.
20. Nick Novak, San Diego Chargers
13 of 32Accuracy
Novak's consistent inside the 40-yard line, hitting on 15-of-16 kicks in that range in 2011. Where he struggles is deeper than 40, where he falls to 12-of-18.
Kickoff Power
Novak handles kickoff duties full-time, and in his 85 kicks he had 30 touchbacks and an average distance of 67 yards. This is good for right in the middle of the league.
Field-Goal Power
The Chargers asked Novak to attempt seven kicks longer than 50 yards in 2011; he made four.
Hang Time
Novak's hang time of 4.3 seconds comes in just over the league average. He consistently hit hang times of 4.1 and 4.2 seconds in 2011.
Carlson Rating
Consistent short, and makes enough long kicks to keep the Chargers going back to him.
Overall
Novak needs to make more from 50-plus to get to the next level.
19. Alex Henery, Philadelphia Eagles
14 of 32Accuracy
If we were assigning letter grades, Henery would have a B+. He made 88.9 percent of his kicks during the 2011 season. This wasn't the best in the NFL, but it was damn close.
Kickoff Power
Henery kicked off 85 times, with 31 touchbacks and an average of 67 yards. These are all solid numbers, but right around the midline.
Field-Goal Power
Attempted just two kicks over 50 yards. The Eagles aren't asking Henery to extend his range.
Hang Time
Henery is a line-drive kicker who has a maximum hang time of 4.4 seconds and a low of 3.6. This puts him right around the middle of the league.
Carlson Rating
The fact that Henery successfully made 23-of-25 kicks inside 50 yards is remarkable.
Overall
Henery's score as a field-goal kicker would likely put him in the top 10, but his lack of power (on field goals and kickoffs) keeps his score low.
18. Mike Nugent, Cincinntai Bengals
15 of 32Accuracy
Nugent connected on 85 percent of his kicks this year, a very solid number.
Kickoff Power
Primarily a field-goal kicker, but his kickoff power isn't a downfall. He averaged just over 68 yards per kick and had 39 touchbacks in 2011. Neither score is great, but he's ahead of the pack.
Field-Goal Power
Was not asked to attempt any field goals over 50 yards during the regular season, and missed his only such attempt during the playoffs. The Bengals were in position; they just didn't try.
Hang Time
A max hang time of 4.3 seconds puts Nugent near the bottom of the NFL for best hang time. A positive is that the opponent's average starting position is the 20-yard line.
Carlson Rating
Missed six kicks all year, with three of them being in the 30- to 39-yard range. This helps out his score tremendously, but there's also the fact that his only 50-yard attempt came in the postseason.
Overall
If you ranked Nugent purely on makes and misses he would be higher, but taking into account his range and his kickoff ability, he drops from a potential top-10 kicker.
17. Rian Lindell, Buffalo Bills
16 of 32Accuracy
Lindell has a smaller sample size due to injury, but he hit on 86.7 percent of his attempts.
Kickoff Power
Had 13 touchbacks in 43 kicks, a decent average compared with the rest of the NFL. The opposition's starting position was near the 21-yard line.
Field-Goal Power
Partially due to being hurt, Lindell did not attempt any kicks past 50 yards in 2011. He has good range and an overall strong leg.
Hang Time
Booted the ball high on kickoffs, with a max time of 4.5 seconds.
Carlson Rating
Was 13-of-15 on the year—solid numbers for just eight weeks of work. His score is helped by the fact that he didn't kick any attempts over 50 yards and missed just once between the 40 and 49.
Overall
With just two misses in eight games and an average kickoff of 65.5 yards, Lindell is a good all-around kicker.
16. Dan Bailey, Dallas Cowboys
17 of 32Accuracy
Bailey connected on 86.5 percent of his kicks in 2011, a very solid number. Helped by kicking indoors so often, but still—20-of-21 inside 40 yards is super.
Kickoff Power
With 24 touchbacks and a 66.5-yard average, Bailey is average.
Field-Goal Power
The Cowboys are not afraid to let Bailey bomb kicks—he attempted four over 50 yards and 12 in the 40- to 49-yard range. He made 12-of-16 attempts over 40 yards.
Hang Time
Hang time ranges from 4.4 to 4.0 seconds, which is right on par.
Carlson Rating
Bailey's high percentage of made kicks inside of 49 yards makes his score one of the highest of a player outside the top 10.
Overall
An accurate kicker with the strength to consistently hit from distances over 40 yards. Under pressure, Bailey had ups and downs in 2011. His missed kick in Week 17 vs. the New York Giants knocked the Cowboys out of the playoff race.
15. Adam Vinatieri, Indianapolis Colts
18 of 32Accuracy
Vinatieri connected on 85.2 percent of his kicks in 2011, but his accuracy outside of 30 yards was limited. He missed four of 20 kicks in that range.
Kickoff Power
Handed the kicking duties off to Pat McAfee. Based on how well Vinatieri kicked off previously, and taking into account the natural regression of skills, he's coming in with an average score.
Field-Goal Power
The Colts aren't afraid to let Vinatieri try from outside 50 yards if they are inside Lucas Oil, but in the elements they prefer to keep him around 45 yards.
Hang Time
With Vinatieri not kicking off during the 2011 season, we're grading him on the last full season in which he did kick off and then adjusting for time and age.
Carlson Rating
Made 2-of-3 attempts outside of 50 yards in 2011, and was 8-of-10 in the 40- to 49-yard range.
Overall
Vinatieri may very well go down as the best kicker of our generation, but as the Colts regressed in 2011 his opportunities were limited. The fact that he doesn't handle kickoffs also hurt his overall score.
14. Steven Hauschka, Seattle Seahawks
19 of 32Accuracy
With a success rate of 82.1 percent, Hauschka comes in a little lower than expected.
Kickoff Power
Field-Goal Power
Hang Time
Carlson Rating
Overall
13. Mason Crosby, Green Bay Packers
20 of 32Accuracy
Crosby did a great job in 2011, connecting on 90 percent of his kicks and knocking through an impressive 15-of-15 in the 30 to 39 range.
Kickoff Power
Field-Goal Power
Hang Time
Carlson Rating
Overall
12. Ryan Succop, Kansas City Chiefs
21 of 32Accuracy
Succop connected on 85.7 percent of his kicks in 2011, which is near the middle of the league. He was 100 percent on kicks over 50 yards, but struggled to connect on kicks between 30 and 50 yards.
Kickoff Power
Field-Goal Power
Hang Time
Carlson Rating
Overall
11. Connor Barth, Tampa Bay Buccaneers
22 of 32Accuracy
Barth had the second-best field-goal percentage of any player—connecting on 92.9 percent of his kicks. For a player who kicks primarily outdoors, this is remarkable.
Kickoff Power
Field-Goal Power
Hang Time
Carlson Rating
Overall
10. Matt Bryant, Atlanta Falcons
23 of 32Accuracy
No kicker in the NFL had a better accuracy rating, as Bryant made 93.1 percent of his kicks. He was 27-of-29 overall, with his only misses coming in the 40- to 50-yard range.
Kickoff Power
Field-Goal Power
Hang Time
Carlson Rating
Overall
9. Rob Bironas, Tennessee Titans
24 of 32Accuracy
Bironas connected on 90 percent of his kicks—a solid A- for 2011. He was close to automatic, with just three misses total.
Kickoff Power
Field-Goal Power
Hang Time
Carlson Rating
Overall
8. Jason Hanson, Detroit Lions
25 of 32Accuracy
Hanson ranked No. 13 in the NFL, connecting on 86.2 percent of his 29 attempts in 2011. Were it not for two misses from 40 to 49 yards, he would be markedly higher.
Kickoff Power
Field-Goal Power
Hang Time
Carlson Rating
Overall
7. Matt Prater, Denver Broncos
26 of 32Accuracy
Hitting on 77.8 percent of his kicks, Prater's accuracy—especially outside of 30 yards—is a concern.
Kickoff Power
Field-Goal Power
Hang Time
Carlson Rating
Overall
6. Stephen Gostkowski, New England Patriots
27 of 32Accuracy
Gostkowski hit on 86.8 percent of his kicks in 2011. He was an impressive 9-of-11 on kicks between 40 and 50 yards.
Kickoff Power
Field-Goal Power
Hang Time
Carlson Rating
Overall
5. Dan Carpenter, Miami Dolphins
28 of 32Accuracy
Carpenter ranked in the middle of the NFL with a success rate of 84.8 percent. Were it not for two misses on three attempts longer than 50 yards, he would be higher.
Kickoff Power
Field-Goal Power
Hang Time
Carlson Rating
Overall
4. Robbie Gould, Chicago Bears
29 of 32Accuracy
Gould missed just four kicks all year, making 87.5 percent of his attempts. He made 6-of-6 outside 50 yards.
Kickoff Power
Field-Goal Power
Hang Time
Carlson Rating
Overall
3. Josh Scobee, Jacksonville Jaguars
30 of 32Accuracy
Knocked down 92 percent of his kicks, with just two misses in 2011.
Kickoff Power
Field-Goal Power
Hang Time
Carlson Rating
Overall
2. David Akers, San Francisco 49ers
31 of 32Accuracy
Factoring in the playoffs, Akers was good on 90 percent of his kicks in 2011. Take just the playoffs into account, where the pressure is highest, and he was a perfect 4-for-4.
Kickoff Power
Field-Goal Power
Hang Time
Carlson Rating
Overall
1. Sebastian Janikowski, Oakland Raiders
32 of 32Accuracy
Janikowski's average of 87.5 percent ranked him near the top. He has always been known as a little wild, but he played under more control in 2011 and hit 28-of-32 kicks.
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