Super Bowl Prop Bets: Why a Touchdown Will Be the First Score of Game

Jon DoveContributor IFebruary 5, 2012

FOXBORO, MA - JANUARY 22:  Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots celebrates after a touchdown in the fourth quarter against the Baltimore Ravens during their AFC Championship Game at Gillette Stadium on January 22, 2012 in Foxboro, Massachusetts.  (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)
Jim Rogash/Getty Images

The Super Bowl is not one of the most-watched sporting events just because of the play on the field. Fact is, most people tune in for reasons other than to see the outcome.

The Super Bowl offers one of the most unique gambling situations in pro sports. Wagers can be placed on not only the outcome of the game, but also on various stats and scenarios.

Super Bowl prop bets have become popular with people betting on things such as the coin toss and possible MVP award. This year, people have a chance to wager money on how the first points of the game will be scored. Someone can make a wager on whether or not the first score will be a touchdown or any other scenario.

The dynamics of this game make it a strong possibility that the first points will come via touchdown. Both the New York Giants and New England Patriots feature high-octane offenses capable of scoring from anywhere on the field.

However, it's not their quick-strike ability that makes a touchdown the most likely outcome. These teams do an excellent job in the red zone thanks to key players like Rob Gronkowski, Hakeem Nicks and Wes Welker. These targets offer Tom Brady and Eli Manning excellent options when inside the red zone.

According to, the New England Patriots score a touchdown 65 percent of the time they get into the red zone. The Giants punch it in 54 percent of the times they get inside the 20-yard line. Red zone touchdown efficiency should play a major role in your decision to place a bet on this scenario.

Using stats is a smart way to gamble, but it's called gambling for reason. Stats can only take you so far and at some point you have to go with the gut feeling.

My gut feeling is that either Eli Manning or Tom Brady will come out of the gates looking to take an early lead. Both quarterbacks are sufficient and capable of leaving an opening drive touchdown.