Tim Tebow is headed for a solid fantasy performance this week against the Chicago Bears. Tebow is coming off his best game, statistically. Against the Vikings, Tebow threw for a season high 202 yards. He also connected for 2 TD passes. Oddly enough, he had his worst game rushing; he only had 13 yards on four attempts.
This could be a signal that Tebow is getting a little more freedom to throw the football. Beyond that, I project Tebow to have a solid performance this week because of the scheme he faces. The Bears Cover-2 look gives up the intermediate throws.
The Bears defense has allowed the fifth most passing yardage of any defense in the NFL, yet they don't rank higher than 13th in any big play passing category (passes of 20+ or 40+ yards).
If Tebow can live in the 10 to 15 yard range, he'll put up decent passing numbers. The Bears' anemic offense also figures to give Tebow plenty of opportunities, as they will struggle to sustain a drive against the stout Broncos' defense.
All this equates to a fruitful game for fantasy owners of Tim Tebow.
Tebow's projected stat line:
14-22 180 yards, 2 TDs, INT and a rushing TD, approximately 23 fantasy points (depending on the league)
CJ has finally found his stride. He has hit for back-to-back 100 yard performances, three in his last four games and he hasn't had less than 130 yards in any of them.
The Saints' defense that opposes him is only ranked 16th in the NFL against the run. The Titans will look to control tempo on the ground—that means a lot of CJ.
The Saints run defense has been victimized from a fantasy standpoint by the last two elite RBs they faced. Atlanta's Michael Turner went for 96 yards in Week 10 and the Rams' Steven Jackson exploded for 159 yards and two TDs in Week 8.
The Titans are back to riding their bread-and-butter. Johnson will have a big game and key a moderate upset of the Saints.
Johnson's projected stat line:
25 attempts 145 yards, 2 TDs approximately 28 fantasy points
The Panthers are going to pull the upset over the Atlanta Falcons. I expect a huge game from Cam Newton and that will include Steve Smith. In their first meeting, the Falcons forced Newton into three INTs as they tried to take away Smith's big play impact.
Smith tallied a pedestrian five catches and 66 yards with no TDs. That game was in Atlanta but Newton has shown tremendous growth since then. He has thrown INTs in only two games since, totaling only five picks over six games. He will perform better at home.
Smith is probable for the game and he figures to take advantage of an injury depleted Falcons' secondary. Both Brent Grimes and Kelvin Hayden are likely out of the contest. Smith and the Panthers will gain revenge and he will shine in fantasy.
Smith's projected stat line:
Eight receptions for 130 yards, 2 TDs, approximately 28 fantasy points