In his article, "Cordero Unlikely to Return," he wrote, "But I wouldn't even do that (sign Cordero for a one-year deal in the $7 million range). Try Bill Bray first. If he doesn't work out, turn to Sam LeCure or Jose Arredondo or Brad Boxberger."
I really must question where Fay comes up with some of his ideas. His article left me with five questions:
- Did he really first get the impression during Redsfest that the Reds were likely not going to resign Cordero? Come on. According to several reports since the end of October, Reds general manager Walt Jocketty has said he told Cordero to test the market and that the Reds were going to do the same.
- Bill Bray first shot at the closer role? What is Fay thinking? Sure, Bray enjoyed a nice season in 2011 (5-3 record, 2.98 ERA and 1.08 WHIP). But I don't believe for a minute the Reds are planning on him as the 2012 closer.
- "The way the closer market has settled, the Reds might be able to get Cordero back at one-year deal in $7 million range," wrote Fay. Where does he get these numbers? According to espn.go.com, Jonathan Papelbon signed a four-year, $50 million deal with the Philadelphia Phillies, Heath Bell signed a three-year, $27 million deal with the Miami Marlins, Joe Nathan signed a two-year dearl with the Texas Rangers for $14.5 million and Jonathan Broxton signed a one-year, $4 million deal with $1 million in incentives to be the set-up man in Kansas City. I think $7 million is below the minimum Cordero is looking to sign for, and at his age, he likely is looking for a multi-year deal.
- Fay also suggested Edinson Volquez as a candidate to close. "He's (Volquez) a long-shot for the rotation at this point," wrote Fay. Volquez did struggle last season, but if he returns to the Reds, I would not consider him a long shot for the rotation. It may be a long shot that he will return to his All-Star form, but he still has four good pitches and the arm to be a starter.
- "Win or lose, I could see him (Baker) not returning," wrote Fay. If the Reds win the Central, he will return. A losing season, then may be they will consider a change.
Needless to say, I don't believe the Reds will grant Fay's wishes and give Bray first shot at the closer role for 2012.