Texas Longhorns Insider: Texas Versus Baylor Game Preview

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Texas Longhorns Insider: Texas Versus Baylor Game Preview
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Fresh off of a last second 25-27 win over the Texas A&M Aggies, the Longhorns will finish their season against the red hot Baylor Bears. The Bears need to win this game to keep their ranking strong and position themselves for a strong bowl bid, while the Longhorns could use a win to help get themselves into a better bowl game.

The Bears have a pretty potent offense but the Longhorns do manage to play good defense, and if they play the same great defense that they have managed to play over the past few weeks, then they have an excellent chance of winning this game.

But with the way that the Bears have played recently, this might be a difficult game for Texas to win.

The Longhorns have a lot of instability at the quarterback position right now. Their leader, David Ash, has thrown 149 passes, completing 84 of those for 926 yards, eight interceptions and three touchdowns. They also use Case McCoy in the lineup, and he’s thrown 106 passes with 65 completions for 689 yards with no interceptions and four touchdowns.

Texas is averaging 178 yards per game through the air, while Baylor is allowing teams to gain an average of 271 yards per game. The Baylor passing defense isn’t that strong, but then again, neither is the Longhorns' passing offense.

When it comes to rushing the ball, the Longhorns are led by Malcolm Brown, who has rushed 159 times for 735 yards and five touchdowns. He is averaging 4.4 yards per rush. Joe Bergeron is second on the team with 465 yards on 69 carries and five touchdowns. He has averaged 6.6 yards per rush.

As a team, Texas is gaining an average of 211 yards per game, while the Bears are allowing teams to gain 198 yards of rushing per game. Perhaps the Longhorns might find some success running the ball against the Bears, but if the Bears score in bunches, that rushing attack will go out the window.

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The leading receiver for the Longhorns is Mike Davis. Davis has 40 catches for 561 yards and one touchdown. The leader in touchdowns is Jaxon Shipley with three.

The Longhorns are gaining an average of 390 yards per game, while the Bears are holding teams to 470 yards per game—so there is some offense to be had by the Longhorns in this game.

The leading passer for the Bears is the famed Robert Griffin III. Griffin has completed 252 passes with 347 attempts for 3,678 yards, 34 touchdowns and five interceptions. Griffin has been playing like a man on fire lately and is one of the best quarterbacks in college football right now.

Texas’ defense is allowing teams to gain an average of 201 yards per game through the air, while the Bears are gaining 359 yards a game. Can the Longhorns hold back this powerful passing offense and help themselves win this game?

The leading rusher for the Bears is Terrance Ganaway. Ganaway has rushed for a total of 1,195 yards on 206 carries with 14 touchdowns and an average of 5.8 yards per rush. Their second leading rusher is Griffin, and he’s rushed for 612 yards on 149 carries for seven touchdowns with an average of 4.1 yards per rush.

Texas is allowing teams to gain 95 yards on the ground per game, while Baylor is gaining 217 yards per game. The Longhorns should be able hold the Bears tight running the ball and even things out.

Baylor’s leading wide receiver is Kendall Wright. Wright has caught 95 passes for 1,406 yards and 12 scores. 

Darren Carroll/Getty Images

 

Analysis

The Bears have one of the best offenses in the Big 12 and in college football, while the Longhorns have a defense that can step up and shut opponents down. Something has to give in this game, and for the Longhorns they hope that their defense can effectively shut down the Baylor attack and render it ineffective.

But the Bears have a lot of weapons, and with a quarterback like Robert Griffin, they could be hard to beat. If the Bears get ahead with a sizeable lead, the Longhorns don’t have the offense to get them back in the game and get them the win. They have to play stout and strong defense from the start.  They can do it, but just how well will they be able to do it?

It would be great if the Longhorns could shut the Bears down early and keep the score low. That might be the only way that they win this game.

 

Prediction

The Bears offense is going to be difficult for the Longhorns to stop, and if they get a lead, Texas doesn’t have the offense to catch up. The only way they can win is to completely shut down the Bears' offense—and that seems unlikely.

What seems more likely is that the Longhorns will end their season with a loss.

 

Baylor 35 Texas 17

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