Bowl Projections: Where Are the Current 2-Loss Teams Headed?

Dan Vasta@CI_StatsGuruSenior Writer IIINovember 25, 2011

Bowl Projections: Where Are the Current 2-Loss Teams Headed?

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    While the BCS Bowls are still undecided, so are the upper-echelon New Year's Day Bowls (Jan. 2).

    Many of those teams who seemed like locks to make a BCS Bowl in the preseason are on the brink of completely missing out on a BCS Bowl all together.

    There is a chance for a few two-loss teams to still win their conferences by winning out, but it will not be easy. So, where will the top two-loss teams in the country end up playing for the holidays?

Oregon Ducks

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    There is no need to completely panic in Eugene because they are a Civil War win away from reaching the Pac-12 Championship.

    They would likely be two to three touchdown favorites at home against whoever wins the South of the Pac-12.

    While there is a slight possibility they could lose at home, I would seriously doubt it happens. The Ducks will play angry their next two weeks, and I fear they may have 100 points combined in these two expected upcoming games.

    Drama's Projected Bowl: BCS Rose Bowl

Oklahoma Sooners

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    After re-watching the Sooners loss to Baylor, I came away with many different observations. Not a lot of good came out of it, but one is that Bob Stoops will have them battling their brains out against Oklahoma State at Bedlam.

    They can pull off the upset because Stoops has been a god at finding ways to beat the Cowboys.

    Make it eight straight for the moment, and of course, if they can find a way to make it nine, then Bob's Sooners will be opening up a big bag of Tostitos. 

    However, if they thought Baylor's offense was tough to defend, wait until a motivated Mike Gundy squad waits for them to come on in to Boone Pickens Stadium.

    Drama's Projected Bowl: Alamo Bowl

Kansas State Wildcats

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    Every year, there is a team that comes outs of the blue, and there is no doubt that it has been the Wildcats this season.

    Bill Snyder has done a tremendous job, but how Collin Klein continues to do it is beyond amazing. He single handily carries this offense, and it is not like he has an all-world team around him.

    In fact, Kansas State is just 77th in the nation in total defense, allowing 401 YPG. Obviously, playing the Big 12 will skew your numbers a tad, but they have had their fair share of troubles even against mediocre offenses. 

    A pesky Iowa State squad comes in next, but I would bank on Klein and company to keep the train rolling.

    Drama's Projected Bowl: Cotton Bowl

Georgia Bulldogs

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    The scorching hot Bulldogs are balling at the perfect time, but they must continue their momentum against a dangerous Georgia Tech squad.

    The triple option is not easy to defend, and the perimeter of their defense (which is arguably the weakness if there is one) will surely be tested.

    Still, the game against the Jackets does not have any impact on their bowl game. That, of course, will be in the SEC Championship against the winner of the SEC West.

    It will either be LSU, Alabama or Arkansas. Though I doubt the Razorbacks will win the tiebreaker because they would need Alabama to lose (not likely).

    If Georgia wins the SEC Championship, they get an automatic berth in the BCS Sugar Bowl, and the SEC would then of course likely have a total of three teams in the BCS (1 against 2 allows it).

    If Georgia loses in the SEC Championship, we can almost certainly count them for a New Year's Day Bowl (Jan. 2 and beyond).

    The Cotton Bowl will likely not choose a team out West since Auburn will go to the Gator or Chick-Fil-A, and with Arkansas likely to pick up the Capital One Bowl, it only leaves one bowl left (SC pretty much a lock to go Outback).

    Drama's Projected Bowl: Cotton Bowl

South Carolina Gamecocks

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    The losses of Marcus Lattimore and Stephen Garcia were expected to crush this team in more ways then one. However, the Gamecocks continued to find ways to win ball games. Lots of thanks goes to their fifth rated defense, but they have not turned it over in key situations (that is vital).

    So, they now have a chance to carry a ton of momentum into bowl season if they can knock off the Clemson Tigers at home.

    That game is meaningless regarding where they end up for the holidays, but there really is only one bowl destination. 

    Drama's Projected Bowl: Outback Bowl 

Michigan Wolverines

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    Most did not think Brady Hoke and the boys had any chance of winning 10 games this season, but here they are, just one victory away from reaching that feat.

    A win over the rivaled Ohio State Buckeyes means they will likely be playing in a BCS Bowl. The BCS individual bowl representatives are all about one main thing: money.

    If they do not think a team is going to attract fans to come see their bowl, let alone watch them on television, then they will take a pass on such a team not named Michigan.

    Michigan is still the winningest program of all-time, and they have been a great team to follow this season. When healthy, Denard Robinson is impossible to gameplan against when he is avoiding the turnover bug. 

    They have a bunch of underrated playmakers on offense, and their defense is currently ranked 14th in the nation (total yards allowed-total defense). 

    The selection process in the BCS goes as follows: Fiesta, Sugar and Orange. The Orange will likely be stuck with the Big East winner, so it makes it much easier on the average fan.

    If Stanford wins out, the Fiesta Bowl has to decide on whether or not they want to have the Big 12 champs against Michigan or Stanford? 

    Of course, the Cardinal need to knock off the Irish at home in Andrew Luck's final collegiate game first. 

    Drama's Projected Bowl: BCS Fiesta Bowl

Michigan State Spartans

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    Many Spartan fans have one thing to say: What about us?

    The Spartans have already clinched a spot in the Big Ten Championship and are awaiting the winner between Penn State and Wisconsin.

    The Badgers are expected to win the game in Camp Randall, so we would be looking at a rematch from an epic Hail Mary thrilling ending.

    Can the Spartans do it again, with this time being at Lucas Oil Stadium?

    I say not likely, as I have nothing against Kirk Cousins personally, but I do not like this team nearly as much as the Badgers.

    Bret Bielema has a knack for winning big games at home or in neutral field games, and unless this game gets switched to East Lansing, I can't see another upset.

    Montee Ball has been a superstar, and they still have Russell Wilson playing pitch and catch with Nick Toon. The Badgers have some minor issues on defense (edge goes to Sparty on defense), but their ball control offense has been unstoppable lately.

    I could easily be wrong about this Spartans team since they have a few playmakers on both sides of the ball (Jerel Worthy, BJ Cunningham, Denicos Allen, Max Bullough), but Wisconsin still gets a slight edge in my books.

    Drama's Projected Bowl: Capital One Bowl (Arkansas likely)

Wisconsin Badgers

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    Montee Ball has 30 touchdowns, and the number keeps increasing by the hour it seems. Ball is likely to become the Big Ten Offensive Player of the Year, but he has been running behind a top five offensive line that gives him 6.6 yards a touch.

    The Badgers have found ways to limit the big plays on defense, and with Russell Wilson never turning the ball over, there is nothing to worry about.

    Drama's Projected Bowl: BCS Rose Bowl (Oregon likely)

Penn State Nittany Lions

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    The Nittany Lion players have been able to bounce back nicely since suffering through one of the most tumultuous weeks we have ever seen, but they still have a vital game coming up against the Badgers.

    If they can win on the road against Wisconsin, they will play Michigan State in the Big Ten Championship.

    If they were to lose either one of those two games, their likely next destination would be the Outback Bowl or Insight Bowl.

    They did lose to the Huskers a few weeks ago, but they will have a better conference record, which would give them the opportunity to play in the Outback Bowl against a solid SEC squad (South Carolina likely).

    Drama's Projected Bowl: Outback Bowl (South Carolina likely opponent)

Clemson Tigers

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    Oh boy, do the Clemson Tigers love to fool most college football fans. Many honestly thought they were going to go undefeated with the way Sammy Watkins and Tajh Boyd were playing.

    However, they once again pulled another Clemson (call it like it is) and will be limping a bit into the season. If they can knock off a solid South Carolina squad, they might be able to gain some of that momentum back, but that will not change the fact of where they will be headed for the bowl season.

    The only question remaining is who they will be going up against. They already thrashed, dashed and smashed the Auburn Tigers. Does Auburn really want another piece of Dabo, or will the Florida Gators come calling to lovely Atlanta?

    Drama's Projected Bowl: Chick-Fil-A Bowl

TCU Horned Frogs

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    The poor Horned Frogs knocked off Boise State, and yet they are still getting less hype or rumor to making a BCS Bowl in comparison to the Smurfs.

    The main problem is that TCU must crack the top 16 in the BCS rankings to make it. Anything outside the top 16, and there is pretty much ZERO chance they make it to the adults table. Instead, they will have to settle for a trip to Vegas.

    We could call this a non-sexy squad, but Gary Patterson is a flat-out winner. He deserves a ton of credit, and his quarterback, Casey Pachal,l has been a gamer this season. They have torched the Mountain West via the air.

    Drama's Projected Bowl: MAACO Las Vegas Bowl

Baylor Bears

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    RGIII for President!

    Robert Griffin III received a phone call form Terrell Suggs, and he just wanted to let him know that he has been accepted into ball-so-hard-university.

    Griffin is a superstar and means so much to this Baylor squad. Art Briles' offense has been unstoppable at times this season, and I think they will find a way to sneak by Texas in the finale.

    That is important because then they would be headed to lovely Tempe for the Insight Bowl. If they lose, they have to travel to San Diego for the Holiday Bowl (winners either way).

    Drama's Projected Bowl: Insight Bowl (Penn State maybe, likely Nebraska-Iowa winner)