WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 120 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
1. LSU Tigers +1 90.2 36.8 15.4
2. Boise State Broncos +1 89.7 41.0 20.6
3. Stanford Cardinal +1 89.3 40.6 20.2
4. Alabama Crimson Tide -3 89.3 36.2 15.8
5. Wisconsin Badgers +1 86.6 37.3 19.5
6. Oklahoma Sooners -1 85.7 36.4 19.3
7. Oklahoma State Cowboys - 85.7 40.5 23.1
8. Oregon Ducks - 84.4 37.4 20.4
9. USC Trojans +2 78.5 35.4 22.1
10. Georgia Bulldogs +2 78.5 34.3 21.1
11. Arkansas Razorbacks -2 78.2 35.0 21.4
12. TCU Horned Frogs -2 78.1 35.3 22.6
13. Clemson Tigers - 76.0 32.1 20.8
14. Michigan State Spartans - 75.0 32.9 21.4
15. Florida State Seminoles +1 74.7 32.9 21.4
16. Ohio State Buckeyes +5 73.2 28.9 18.9
17. South Carolina Gamecocks +6 73.1 29.9 19.6
18. West Virginia Mountaineers -3 72.3 32.7 23.0
19. Virginia Tech Hokies - 71.9 30.4 20.4
20. Arizona State Sun Devils +2 71.8 31.3 21.6
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
21. Texas A&M Aggies -4 71.4 33.2 23.2
22. Texas Longhorns +2 71.0 29.8 20.8
23. Nebraska Cornhuskers -5 70.6 28.6 19.1
24. Notre Dame Fighting Irish +1 69.6 29.8 22.0
25. Auburn Tigers +3 69.4 30.7 21.8
26. Miami (FL) Hurricanes +3 68.7 30.0 22.0
27. Mississippi State Bulldogs -1 68.0 30.0 22.1
28. Kansas State Wildcats +7 67.3 31.1 23.9
29. Houston Cougars +5 66.5 37.7 30.9
30. Florida Gators -3 66.3 26.6 19.8
31. Baylor Bears - 66.1 34.1 27.3
32. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +1 66.0 27.3 20.5
33. Washington Huskies -1 65.3 29.2 22.8
34. Missouri Tigers -14 64.5 29.1 22.4
35. Penn State Nittany Lions -5 63.8 26.6 20.4
36. Iowa Hawkeyes - 63.3 28.4 22.6
37. Texas Tech Red Raiders +2 63.1 32.2 26.7
38. Tennessee Volunteers +5 62.6 27.4 22.1
39. UCLA Bruins +13 62.0 30.2 25.1
40. California Golden Bears +6 61.3 26.0 21.7
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
41. Michigan Wolverines +1 61.1 30.9 25.6
42. Arizona Wildcats +2 60.1 28.0 23.8
43. Pittsburgh Panthers -2 60.0 26.1 22.3
44. Illinois Fighting Illini +1 60.0 27.3 23.1
45. Cincinnati Bearcats -8 59.7 30.5 25.9
46. Louisville Cardinals +13 57.9 27.2 24.0
47. Utah Utes +1 56.8 27.0 24.0
48. Brigham Young Cougars +1 56.2 27.7 24.8
49. Northern Illinois Huskies +1 55.4 30.1 27.9
50. Oregon State Beavers +1 54.4 26.3 24.5
51. San Diego State Aztecs +3 54.2 27.8 25.8
52. North Carolina Tar Heels -14 54.1 25.9 24.4
53. Syracuse Orange -6 54.0 26.5 24.5
54. South Florida Bulls -14 53.6 25.9 23.9
55. Virginia Cavaliers +11 53.2 26.8 25.0
56. Southern Miss Golden Eagles - 52.8 30.5 29.3
57. Toledo Rockets -2 52.3 29.2 27.8
58. Northwestern Wildcats +2 52.0 26.7 25.9
59. Air Force Falcons +8 51.4 24.8 24.6
60. North Carolina State Wolfpack +3 50.7 25.9 25.5
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
61. Purdue Boilermakers +1 50.3 25.5 25.3
62. Boston College Eagles -4 50.2 24.1 23.4
63. Hawaii Warriors -6 50.0 30.5 30.7
64. Vanderbilt Commodores +1 48.9 24.1 24.1
65. Tulsa Golden Hurricane -4 48.7 30.7 30.7
66. Connecticut Huskies +4 48.0 23.7 24.1
67. Wake Forest Demon Deacons +1 47.9 26.8 27.2
68. East Carolina Pirates +5 46.9 28.0 29.6
69. Ohio Bobcats +13 46.6 24.9 26.6
70. Maryland Terrapins -1 46.2 23.7 25.2
71. Kentucky Wildcats +1 46.1 22.6 23.9
72. Rutgers Scarlet Knights +2 45.3 22.8 24.4
73. Mississippi Rebels -2 45.2 26.8 28.2
74. UCF Knights -21 45.0 26.5 28.3
75. Temple Owls -11 45.0 24.5 26.6
76. Washington State Cougars +1 44.6 26.1 28.7
77. Duke Blue Devils -2 43.9 26.4 28.5
78. Navy Midshipmen - 43.1 24.5 26.9
79. Iowa State Cyclones +1 41.2 22.8 27.1
80. Colorado Buffaloes -4 40.9 24.7 28.2
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
81. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs +3 40.1 25.6 30.1
82. Southern Methodist Mustangs -1 40.0 24.4 29.2
83. Fresno State Bulldogs -4 38.3 24.4 29.5
84. Nevada Wolf Pack -1 37.3 24.0 28.6
85. Arkansas State Red Wolves +1 35.3 24.1 30.7
86. Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns +5 32.9 23.0 30.0
87. Kent State Golden Flashes +7 32.7 18.4 26.2
88. Marshall Thundering Herd -1 32.5 21.2 28.5
89. Wyoming Cowboys +4 32.1 20.8 29.1
90. Army Black Knights - 31.6 19.7 28.1
91. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks +1 31.2 21.9 30.1
92. Miami (OH) RedHawks +4 30.9 20.8 29.5
93. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -4 30.0 20.2 28.9
94. Western Michigan Broncos +1 28.8 21.8 30.8
95. Kansas Jayhawks +5 28.7 22.4 31.9
96. Central Michigan Chippewas -8 28.6 20.8 29.6
97. Bowling Green Falcons +1 28.4 20.2 30.0
98. Utah State Aggies +4 28.2 21.5 31.5
99. Indiana Hoosiers - 28.1 22.6 32.2
100. Tulane Green Wave -3 27.9 21.8 31.2
  Team Change Win Pct PS/G PA/G
101. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +7 27.9 20.5 30.1
102. Troy Trojans -1 27.8 21.2 31.1
103. FIU Golden Panthers -18 27.4 19.9 30.0
104. North Texas Mean Green +2 27.1 21.5 32.6
105. Minnesota Golden Gophers +5 26.5 18.7 29.1
106. Buffalo Bulls -2 25.4 18.3 29.4
107. UTEP Miners - 24.2 18.3 29.9
108. Ball State Cardinals -3 23.8 19.8 31.8
109. Rice Owls -6 23.5 22.0 33.7
110. San Jose State Spartans -1 22.3 19.5 31.9
111. UAB Blazers - 21.7 20.6 33.1
112. Colorado State Rams - 20.5 18.9 31.8
113. Idaho Vandals - 19.9 17.8 31.7
114. Eastern Michigan Eagles - 15.5 16.7 33.4
115. UNLV Rebels +1 15.1 16.8 33.8
116. New Mexico State Aggies -1 11.3 15.3 35.5
117. Florida Atlantic Owls - 9.8 13.6 35.0
118. Akron Zips - 9.5 13.3 34.7
119. Memphis Tigers +1 7.0 12.0 35.8
120. New Mexico Lobos -1 6.7 11.8 36.2