Jacksonville Jaguars vs. Houston Texans: Spread Info, Line and Predictions

Matt FaulconerFeatured ColumnistOctober 28, 2011

JACKSONVILLE, FL - OCTOBER 24:  Blaine Gabbert #11 of the Jacksonville Jaguars celebrates with Zach Potter #88 after the game against the Baltimore Ravens at EverBank Field on October 24, 2011 in Jacksonville Florida. (Photo by Scott Cunningham/Getty Images)
Scott Cunningham/Getty Images

The Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans are both coming off huge victories this past weekend, but only one team will come away with a victory this week.

The Jaguars defeated the Baltimore Ravens last week, while the Texans destroyed the Tennessee Titans.

Jacksonville enters this game with a 2-5 record, while Houston currently sits in first place in the AFC South with a 4-3 record.

Where: Reliant Stadium (Houston, Texas)

When: Sunday, October 30th at 1 p.m. EDT

Watch: CBS, DirecTV 704

Over/Under: Under 40.5

This game is going to be a low scoring battle.

In betting terms, both of these teams have been going under as of late. The Jags have gone under in six of their last seven games, while the Texans have gone under in five of their last seven games.

Both teams boast top-10 defenses this season, which is quite surprising.

With Andre Johnson out another week for the Texans, don't expect this game to go over.

Spread: Houston (-10) according to Bodog Sportsbook

The Texans offense finally came alive last week, and they should be able to score enough this week to cover the 10-point spread.

It's not going to be easy, but they have scored more than 20 points in their last three games, including their 41-point explosion this past week.

Arian Foster has regained his elite form, and will carry the Texans to victory in this game. Jacksonville's lackluster offense is the main reason that Houston will cover the spread.

The Jags rank dead last in the league in passing yards, and won't be able to rely strictly on Maurice Jones-Drew in this one.

The Texans should cover this one, albeit by a slim margin.

Injury Report for Houston:

Danieal Manning S Ankle Out
Andre Johnson WR Hamstring Out
Thomas Austin G Knee Probable
Bryan Braman LB Neck Probable
Mike Brisiel G Leg Probable
Tim Bulman DE Elbow Probable
Antoine Caldwell G Ankle Probable
Brian Cushing LB Illness Probable
Chris Myers C Knee Probable
DeMeco Ryans LB Elbow Probable
Kevin Walter WR Knee Probable
James Casey RB Chest Probable
Johnathan Joseph CB Neck Probable
Eric Winston T Ankle Probable

Injury Report for Jacksonville:

Tyson Alualu DT Not Injury Related --
Greg Jones RB Not Injury Related --
Maurice Jones-Drew RB Not Injury Related --
Aaron Kampman DE Not Injury Related --
Rashean Mathis CB Not Injury Related --
Brock Bolen RB Calf Out
Eben Britton T Back Out
John Chick DE Abdomen Out
Courtney Greene S Hamstring Out
Clint Session LB Elbow Probable
Jason Spitz G Quadricep Probable
Jason Hill WR Wrist Probable

Injury Report courtesy of NFL.com

Fantasy Big Plays:

Arian Foster (Start 'Em)

NASHVILLE, TN - OCTOBER 23:  Arian Foster #23 of the Houston Texans outruns Michael Griffin #33 the Tennessee Titans for a touchdown during play at LP Field on October 23, 2011 in Nashville, Tennessee.  (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)
Grant Halverson/Getty Images

Foster has been on fire lately.

He has gone over 100 yards total offense in his last four games, which included matchups against the Baltimore Ravens, Pittsburgh Steelers and Tennessee Titans.

Things don't get much easier for Foster this week against the No. 10 run defense in the NFL, but he is a dual-threat option that can put up points in a wide variety of ways.

Maurice Jones-Drew (Start 'Em)

JACKSONVILLE, FL - OCTOBER 24: Maurice Jones-Drew #32 of the Jacksonville Jaguars carries the ball against the Baltimore Ravens at EverBank Field on October 24, 2011 in Jacksonville Florida. (Photo by Scott Cunningham/Getty Images)
Scott Cunningham/Getty Images

MJD hasn't liven up to the hype this season, but he has been a reliable option in PPR leagues. He has picked up double-digit points each week, and will continue to do that this week.

He should be in your lineup, as you know he won't completely flame out.

He is coming off a solid 100-yard performance against the Baltimore Ravens. If he can hold onto the ball this week, he should put up another solid fantasy week.

Keys to Victory for Houston:

Houston simply needs to score if they want to win this game. Jacksonville knocked off Baltimore last week without even getting into the end zone.

If the Texans show up to play in this one, they should have no problem knocking off the Jaguars. They need to give the ball to Arian Foster as much as possible, and let him wear down the Jaguars defense.

Keys to Victory for Jacksonville:

The Jags need to do exactly what they did to Baltimore last week if they want to win this game.

They should give the ball to MJD as much as possible. He can eat up yards and keep the Houston offense on the sideline if he can continue to move the chains.

If the Jaguars can dominate time of possession, and find a way to shut down the Texans offense, they have a legitimate shot of winning this game.


Jacksonville 13, Houston 24


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