Jacksonville enters this game with a 2-5 record, while Houston currently sits in first place in the AFC South with a 4-3 record.
Where: Reliant Stadium (Houston, Texas)
When: Sunday, October 30th at 1 p.m. EDT
Watch: CBS, DirecTV 704
Over/Under: Under 40.5
This game is going to be a low scoring battle.
In betting terms, both of these teams have been going under as of late. The Jags have gone under in six of their last seven games, while the Texans have gone under in five of their last seven games.
Both teams boast top-10 defenses this season, which is quite surprising.
Will Houston and Jacksonville combine for more than 40 points?
With Andre Johnson out another week for the Texans, don't expect this game to go over.
Spread: Houston (-10) according to Bodog Sportsbook
The Texans offense finally came alive last week, and they should be able to score enough this week to cover the 10-point spread.
It's not going to be easy, but they have scored more than 20 points in their last three games, including their 41-point explosion this past week.
Arian Foster has regained his elite form, and will carry the Texans to victory in this game. Jacksonville's lackluster offense is the main reason that Houston will cover the spread.
The Jags rank dead last in the league in passing yards, and won't be able to rely strictly on Maurice Jones-Drew in this one.
The Texans should cover this one, albeit by a slim margin.
Injury Report for Houston:
Injury Report for Jacksonville:
|Tyson Alualu||DT||Not Injury Related||--|
|Greg Jones||RB||Not Injury Related||--|
|Maurice Jones-Drew||RB||Not Injury Related||--|
|Aaron Kampman||DE||Not Injury Related||--|
|Rashean Mathis||CB||Not Injury Related||--|
Injury Report courtesy of NFL.com
Fantasy Big Plays:
Arian Foster (Start 'Em)
Foster has been on fire lately.
He has gone over 100 yards total offense in his last four games, which included matchups against the Baltimore Ravens, Pittsburgh Steelers and Tennessee Titans.
Things don't get much easier for Foster this week against the No. 10 run defense in the NFL, but he is a dual-threat option that can put up points in a wide variety of ways.
Maurice Jones-Drew (Start 'Em)
MJD hasn't liven up to the hype this season, but he has been a reliable option in PPR leagues. He has picked up double-digit points each week, and will continue to do that this week.
He should be in your lineup, as you know he won't completely flame out.
He is coming off a solid 100-yard performance against the Baltimore Ravens. If he can hold onto the ball this week, he should put up another solid fantasy week.
Keys to Victory for Houston:
Houston simply needs to score if they want to win this game. Jacksonville knocked off Baltimore last week without even getting into the end zone.
If the Texans show up to play in this one, they should have no problem knocking off the Jaguars. They need to give the ball to Arian Foster as much as possible, and let him wear down the Jaguars defense.
Keys to Victory for Jacksonville:
The Jags need to do exactly what they did to Baltimore last week if they want to win this game.
Who will win?
They should give the ball to MJD as much as possible. He can eat up yards and keep the Houston offense on the sideline if he can continue to move the chains.
If the Jaguars can dominate time of possession, and find a way to shut down the Texans offense, they have a legitimate shot of winning this game.
Jacksonville 13, Houston 24