Major Bowl Projections: Round Two

Kevin TrahanAnalyst IDecember 1, 2008


BCS Bowls

BCS National Championship: Florida vs. Oklahoma

I was happy today when I found out that Oklahoma came out ahead of Texas in the BCS standings. To me, Oklahoma is the best team in the country. While their defense is mediocre, their offense is one of the best in history and picks up the slack. Nine times out of ten they would have beaten Texas this year. The Longhorns do have an argument, but I feel the computers got it right.

Florida is also a great team. Tebow has really stepped it up a notch during the second half of the season and the Gators should easily defeat Alabama in the SEC title game. Percy Harvin, Tebow, and the defense should have big days.

Fiesta Bowl: Ohio State vs. Texas

Sorry Longhorns. Texas may think that they got hurt by the computer rankings, and they may have a point, but in reality, Oklahoma was the right choice. Texas's win over the Sooners was a fluke, and not to upset Longhorn nation or anything, but nine times out of ten, they would have lost.

Ohio State on the other hand looks to be headed to a BCS Bowl game after Oregon's drubbing of Oregon State in the "Civil War." The Buckeyes have turned their season around after two early losses to USC and Penn State. Look for Terrell Pryor and OSU to give Texas a run for their money and maybe pull out a win.

Sugar Bowl: Alabama vs. Utah

Like my first two projections, this game hasn't changed much either. I don't think Alabama will be able to match up with Florida in the SEC title game. The Gators are too good and should dominate a less talented 'Bama team.

Utah should be the lone team from a non-BCS conference to reach a BCS Bowl. They certainly have earned it over top 15 non-BCS counterpart Boise State after beating ranked teams such as BYU and TCU. Although I have a feeling that the Utes will lose, it should be a much closer game that Georgia's drubbing of Hawaii last year.

Rose Bowl: Penn State vs. USC

As I projected last time, Oregon beat Oregon State last week, opening up the Rose Bowl spot for USC. All the Trojans have to do is beat 4-7 UCLA next weekend, and they will be smelling roses.

Penn State has been locked in this spot since last week after winning the Big Ten conference title.

Orange Bowl: Boston College vs. Cincinnati

This is my first change in projection thus far. Cincinnati has been locked here after winning the Big East title, allowing them to reach their first BCS bowl in school history.

After winning last weekend, Boston College just needs to beat Virginia Tech, who didn't look at all convincing last weekend against Virginia, to secure an Orange Bowl spot.

Other January Bowls

Cotton Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Ole Miss

Although Red Raider fans may be disappointed when they look back and think what could have been, they should be happy with the outcome of going to a January bowl.



At 8-4, Ole Miss should be taken over LSU and South Carolina to go to the Cotton Bowl. This should be an intriguing match-up. While many expect Texas Tech to win in a blowout, I would watch out for the Rebels. They are hot, while Texas Tech is cold.

Capital One Bowl: Iowa vs. Georgia

Like I said last time, I think Iowa will be taken over Michigan State. Iowa is hot and Michigan State is cold. Also, Iowa has a marquee win, a star player, and its fans travel better. Plus, they have been to the Capital One Bowl before and last time, they gave the bowl a great finish with a hail mary as time expired to beat LSU 30-25. Capital One Bowl reps have said that if teams are close, they look to momentum and traveling fan base, and Iowa has both of those.

Georgia has had a decent year, and while their recent loss to Georgia Tech has to hurt, it won't hurt their bowl position. I don't see any circumstances in which the Capital One Bowl would take Ole Miss over Georgia.

Gator Bowl: Missouri vs. Florida State

Although Missouri did lose to Kansas and will probably lose to Oklahoma in the BCS title game, they will still make the Gator Bowl. For some reason or another, SI and ESPN both think that Nebraska will be taken over the Tigers, but I don't see that happening.

With their loss to Florida, Florida State will likely be third in the ACC bowl pecking order, behind Georgia Tech. While FSU has a much better fan base, both the Chick-fil-A and Gator Bowls are so close to both teams, I don't see that being a factor.

Outback Bowl: Michigan State vs. LSU

Once again, Michigan State fans will be mad at me for placing them behind Iowa, but I sincerely think that will happen. They don't have momentum or that good of a traveling fan base. They will certainly be taken over Northwestern though, who can't even fill up their own stadium.

The Outback Bowl will either select South Carolina or LSU, two 7-5 teams who struggled down the stretch. Just because of their better fan base, I think that LSU will be selected, but neither team has enough momentum or is good enough to compete well with Michigan State or Iowa.

Major December Bowls

Chick-fil-A Bowl: Georgia Tech vs. LSU

Holiday Bowl: Oregon vs. Oklahoma State

Sun Bowl: Oregon State vs. West Virginia



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