With the regular season over for most schools and only conference championships and bowl games left for the top ranked teams, here are my KPIs through Week 14.
The KPI (Kraus Performance Index) is a rating placed on each game played by the teams in the 6 BCS conferences plus a few of the BCS “Spoilers.” It is intended to gauge how well each team plays each week.
KPI is based on win/loss, margin of victory, total yardage (for/against), turnovers, and time of possession. It also factors in home/away, shutouts, opponents’ ranking, and playing non-BCS conference schools.
Here are the top teams average KPI through Week 14:
|
Rank |
School |
KPI |
Wins |
Losses |
|
1 |
Florida |
81.27 |
11 |
1 |
|
2 |
Oklahoma |
77.26 |
11 |
1 |
|
3 |
USC |
76.73 |
10 |
1 |
|
4 |
Alabama |
75.14 |
12 |
0 |
|
5 |
Texas |
72.56 |
11 |
1 |
|
6 |
Penn State |
70.93 |
11 |
1 |
|
7 |
Texas Tech |
62.17 |
11 |
1 |
|
8 |
Utah |
48.39 |
12 |
0 |
|
9 |
Boise State |
47.72 |
12 |
0 |
|
10 |
Ohio State |
47.48 |
10 |
2 |
I also indexed the six BCS conferences:
|
Conference |
KPI |
|
Big 12 |
25.24 |
|
SEC |
23.59 |
|
Big Ten |
17.88 |
|
ACC |
16.16 |
|
Big East |
14.29 |
|
Pac-10 |
11.45 |
So what does this mean? To me it means that Florida and Alabama both head to a BCS bowl game and the Big 12 sends two schools as well. These won’t be determined until the BCS rankings come out, and it is possible that Missouri will win the championship game and completely screw this up. I think the ACC, Big East, Pac-10 and Big Ten only get one school into BCS bowls because both Utah and Boise State get the nod.
Ohio State could beat both Utah and Boise State (as well as Cincinnati and the ACC title game winner), but Utah and Boise State earned their way in. They both went undefeated and dominated their opponents most weeks. Plus, there is a lot of pressure to bring in BCS busters, especially given that great Boise State-Oklahoma game.
Just for fun, I decided to rank the top 10 and bottom 10 performances of the year.
The top 10 KPI games of the year:
|
Week |
Team |
Score |
Opp. |
Opp. Score |
KPI |
|
13 |
Oklahoma |
65 |
Texas Tech |
21 |
185.00 |
|
11 |
Texas Tech |
56 |
Oklahoma St. |
20 |
170.65 |
|
1 |
Alabama |
34 |
Clemson |
10 |
169.26 |
|
10 |
Florida |
49 |
Georgia |
10 |
164.21 |
|
7 |
Florida |
51 |
LSU |
21 |
159.28 |
|
9 |
Texas Tech |
63 |
Kansas |
21 |
156.94 |
|
3 |
USC |
35 |
Ohio State |
3 |
147.52 |
|
8 |
USC |
69 |
Washington St. |
0 |
141.63 |
|
8 |
Ohio State |
45 |
Michigan St. |
7 |
138.05 |
|
5 |
Alabama |
41 |
Georgia |
30 |
136.18 |
The bottom 10 KPI games of the year:
|
Week |
Team |
Score |
Opp. |
Opp. Score |
KPI |
|
2 |
Washington St. |
3 |
California |
66 |
(91.75) |
|
13 |
Minnesota |
0 |
Iowa |
55 |
(86.43) |
|
5 |
Washington State |
14 |
Oregon |
63 |
(82.30) |
|
9 |
Washington |
7 |
Notre Dame |
33 |
(80.63) |
|
10 |
Washington St. |
0 |
Stanford |
58 |
(80.38) |
|
7 |
Washington St. |
13 |
Oregon St. |
66 |
(80.10) |
|
13 |
Indiana |
10 |
Purdue |
62 |
(77.59) |
|
3 |
UCLA |
0 |
BYU |
59 |
(68.51) |
|
11 |
Washington St. |
28 |
Arizona |
59 |
(67.87) |
|
13 |
North Carolina |
10 |
North Carolina St. |
41 |
(67.09) |
Producing the KPI was a fun and fairly time-consuming exercise every week. The time was well spent as entering all the game statistics into my spreadsheet made me a much better informed fan.
I plan to continue to calculate the KPI through the end of the year—bowl games included. I will then recalibrate some of my calculations for next year and try it again.
Anyone interested in seeing the details of calculations, just drop send me an email. I am happy to send out the spreadsheet (in Excel 2007 format).
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