With games Friday and Saturday, I guess I'll have to just talk about the line moves on the video.
Jordan has posted his picks against the spread for the week, and he has nine that are posted out on the site. He'll have another two in the free newsletter this week. While as usual we share a lot of the same picks, we differ on some games, and we have other games where the other person didn't pick the game at all. Pretty much the way it's been all along.
In any event, I'm going to just get right to the picks.
Nebraska -18 Vs. Colorado (Friday, Nov. 28, 3:30 EST): 5 out of 10
It's tough to give this many points with the Cornhuskers, but I looked at this game inside and out, and I just don't see an angle that can get me away from it. Nebraska comes into this contest at 7-4 and winners of four of their last five while Colorado comes in at 5-6 but losers in six of their last eight.
Colorado has been an easy team to figure out. Injuries and a lack of depth have given way to the 108th-ranked offense in the country and the 83rd-ranked defense. Nebraska, while they have been winning games, have been tough to figure out as well.
Bo Pelini was brought in to run the show, and he has a defensive background, as he was the defensive coordinator for last year's champions LSU. What I find odd is that Nebraska has the 92nd-ranked defense and the 18th-ranked offense in the country and basically has been winning by daring teams to outscore them. I don't think Colorado can even come close in Lincoln.
While Colorado is just 3-7 against the spread this season, all of the recent trends regarding this series favor the Buffaloes. Colorado has covered five of the last six in Nebraska and are 9-3 against the spread in the last 12 meetings between these two. Colorado is just 1-7 against the spread in their last eight games and is 0-4 against the spread in their last eight against a team with a winning home record.
Nebraska enters the game with a 6-5 record against the spread, and while they don't have any encouraging news coming from the trend department, they have covered their last two in a row and appear to be headed in the right direction.
This is a ton of points, and while I'm not overly confident, I think the Huskers get it done and cover.
UTEP +5 at East Carolina (Friday, Nov. 28, 1 EST): 5 out of 10
While I can make what sometimes look to be outlandish picks, I would have a hard time picking against Trevor Vittatoe and the UTEP Miners in their season finale after the goodness they have spread here at The College Football Place.
While TV has been our fantasy QB and king of the lock cover, he's racked up some impressive stats in the meantime, throwing for 31 touchdowns and just six interceptions. The good news for both the Miner fans and those who have ridden the Miners of late is TV is just a sophomore and will be back next year, though we can't guarantee that we'll see as much value on his golden arm.
East Carolina started fast this season but haven't finished like they started. While they are winning games, they haven't done much to win over the masses who have supported them.
ECU is just 3-8 against the spread this year and haven't covered in their last four, all of which have been conference games. East Carolina is just 1-7 against the spread when facing teams with a losing record and are 1-6 against the spread in their last seven following an against the spread loss.
UTEP has covered their last three in a row and are 7-3 against the spread when playing a team with a winning record. UTEP also loves playing on natural grass, where they have covered five of their last six.
I think Vittatoe has already made our players to watch list, and as long as there is value on UTEP, I'll continue to back them.
See the rest of Mitch's Week 14 Part Four college football picks against the spread.
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