NASCAR: Odds for Each Qualifier to Win the Sprint Summer Showdown

Luke KrmpotichContributor IISeptember 2, 2011

NASCAR: Odds for Each Qualifier to Win the Sprint Summer Showdown

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    This Sunday at Atlanta Motor Speedway, four drivers will be racing to win $1 million each for themselves, a charity of their choice and a fan who picked them to win one of the previous five races as part of the Sprint Summer Showdown.

    The drivers qualified to be part of the Showdown by winning one of the last five races on the Sprint Cup schedule.

    If Paul Menard (Indianapolis winner), Brad Keselowski (Pocono and Bristol), Marcos Ambrose (Watkins Glen) or Kyle Busch (Michigan) can win the AdvoCare 500 at Atlanta, they will win the Showdown and the prize money as well.

    What are the odds that each driver will be successful in his quest to bring home the bacon to his team, his charity and his number one fan?

    Here's a rundown of who has the best chance.

4. Marcos Ambrose

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    The affable Tasmanian has never led a lap at Atlanta Motor Speedway.

    Nor has Marcos Ambrose ever scored a Sprint Cup victory on an oval track. His only career Cup victory is the Watkins Glen victory that qualified him for the Showdown.

    His best Atlanta qualifying effort is 11th while his best finish is 10th. Don't bet on Ambrose picking up a million-dollar check Sunday night.

    Odds to win: 40-1

3. Paul Menard

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    Paul Menard has a better record than Marcos Ambrose at Atlanta, but only slightly.

    In nine career Atlanta starts, Menard has two top-10s, including a fifth-place result last season. He's only led two laps at the track, however.

    Like Ambrose, Menard has just one Cup win to his credit, the Brickyard 400 victory which qualified him for this (long) shot at a million bucks.

    Odds to win: 25-1

2. Brad Keselowski

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    Brad Keselowski easily has the worst Atlanta record of the four drivers eligible for the Sprint Summer Showdown.

    In two Atlanta starts, he's finished 36th and 25th. Needless to say, he hasn't led a lap at the track.

    However, past results haven't mattered during Keselowski's recent hot streak.

    BK had never finished better than 13th at Bristol before his win last week, and his best Pocono finish was 20th prior to his victory there earlier this month.

    The No. 2 team is on a roll and Keselowski is supremely confident. Can he pull off another win on Sunday night?

    Odds to win: 10-1

1. Kyle Busch

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    Kyle Busch is always a threat to win at any track, anytime and under any conditions. He's my pick to win the 2011 title and is easily the favorite among these four drivers to win the Showdown.

    Shrub has one Atlanta win on his resume to go along with three top-5s and 300 laps led in 13 starts. However, Busch also has five finishes of 20th or worse, so he's far from a lock for a top finish.

    But will he win?

    Busch has led at least 20 laps in four of the past seven Atlanta races and having a few million bucks on the line never hurt, so I wouldn't bet against him.

    Odds to win: 6-1