A Break Down of Texas Tech at Oklahoma

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A Break Down of Texas Tech at Oklahoma

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Norman will be center of college football next Saturday, Nov. 22nd. Fans from all over the country will be interested for various reason in this dynamic duo of No. 2 at No. 5.

Texas Tech is undefeated which will cause many to pull for Oklahoma, namely those residing in the Penn State and USC districts of the country—though a Texas Tech loss will most likely not change the much anticipated "Big 12 versus SEC" BCS championship game, it would be a step forward for the Big Ten and Pac-10.

There will also be the oblivious viewer who knows very little about college football—these viewers will be watching the game simply because they heard it will be an air show to rival the Blue Angels. Both teams score a lot...an average of about 50 points a game for each team. The bottom line it will be an exciting for the fans and it should be a close one.

Finally there are the die-hard Red Raider fans and the die-hard Sooner fans who will not be sleeping for the next five days in anticipation of this game to trump all games. This article is for you guys. I will be breaking down every stat I can think of in an attempt to project a winner for this game. Enjoy, Fellas

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Oklahoma's Offense

  • 1st in the nation scoring 51.4 points per game on average. 
  • 4th in the nation in total yards per game at 557 on average.
  • Pass the ball 355.5 yards per game (3rd in the nation)
  • Rush the ball 194.3 yards per game (24th in the nation)
  • 6th in the nation with 26.3 first downs per game.
  • Tied for 26th in the nation for most penalties at 74 for 643 yards on the season.
  • 21st in the nation with a 46.4% 3rd down conversion rate. (64 for 138)
  • Tied for 41st in the country with a 50% 4th down conversion rate (8 for 16)
  • Has thrown six interceptions and allowed seven sacks.

Texas Tech's Offense
  • 3rd in the nation scoring 47.9 points per game on average.
  • 2nd in the nation in total yards per game at 571.2 on average.
  • Pass the ball 433.7 yards per game (1st in the nation)
  • Rush the ball 132.6 yards per game (74th in the nation)
  • 1st in the nation with 29 first downs per game.
  • Tied for 17th in the nation for most penalties at 77 for 649 yards on the season.
  • 21st in the nation with a 57.8% 3rd down conversion rate. (74 for 128)
  • Tied for 18st in the country with a 66.7% 4th down conversion rate (10 for 15)
  • Has thrown five interceptions and allowed five sacks.

Sam Bradford vs. Graham Harrell
Season Passer Rating: 188.94 vs. 169.18
Season Yards: 3406 vs. 4077
Season Passing TD's: 38 vs. 36
Season Rushing TDs: 4 vs. 6
Season Interceptions: 6 vs. 5
Season Sacks: 7 vs. 5

Juaquin Iglesias vs. Michael Crabtree
Season Receptions: 51 vs. 78
Season Yards: 853 vs. 1010
Season TDs: 6 vs. 18
Season Long: 42 vs. 82

Chris Brown/DeMarco Murray vs. Baron Batch/Shannon Woods
Season Attempts: 128/146 vs. 93/116
Season Rushing Yards: 782/804 vs. 667/588
Season Yards/Attempt: 6.1/5.5 vs. 7.2/5.1
Season Rushing TD's: 12/11 vs. 5/11
Season Long: 39/70 vs. 49/38
Season Fumbles: ZERO
Season Receiving Yards: 50/308 vs. 374/267
Season Receiving TDs: 1/4 vs. 1/2

I give a slight advantage to Graham Harrell due to the momentum he has built up and his slightly higher efficiency.  Let's see how he does in a hostile environment.
I give advantage to Michael Crabtree without a doubt—the best player in college football. For Tech to win he will need to make plays.
I give advantage to the Oklahoma set of backs. They do everything the Tech backs do, only slightly better. Do not forget, though, that Batch averages over 7.0 yards per carry and Woods had two receiving touchdowns last week against OK State. 
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Oklahoma's Defense
  • Gives up 23.6 points per game (4th Big 12)
  • Gives up 345.6 total yards per game (1st Big 12)
  • Gives up 107.5 rushing yards per game (3rd Big 12)
  • Gives up 238.1 passing yards per game (4th Big 12)
  • Allowed 17 rushing TDs and 11 Passing TD's (5th/T-1st Big 12)
  • Allows 3.2 yards per rush and 6.4 per completion (2nd Big 12)
  • QB's average passer rating is 109.2
  • Sacked the QB 33 times
  • Forced 13 INTs (4th Big 12)

Texas Tech's Defense
  • Gives up 22.2 points per game (2nd Big 12)
  • Gives up 351.4 total yards per game (3rd Big 12)
  • Gives up  107.4 rushing yards per game (2nd Big 12)
  • Gives up 244 passing yards per game (6th Big 12)
  • Allowed 13 rushing TDs and 11 Passing TD's (4th/T-1st Big 12)
  • Allows 3.4 yards per rush and 6.7 per completion (3rd Big 12)
  • QB's average passer rating is 119.5
  • Sacked the QB 26 times
  • Forced 16 INTs (1st Big 12)

This one is close. Texas Tech gives up fewer points, touchdowns, and rushing yards while forcing more interceptions than Oklahoma. Oklahoma gives up fewer total yards and yards per carry/reception while also sacking the quarterback more. I will pronounce this a tie. Whichever defense shows up will win the game for their offense. 
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Special Teams
Ah, special teams...neither team is all that great. They each average about 36 yards per punt. Both are about 50 percent on field goals. The glaring difference is that, on the season, Oklahoma appears to be better at extra points, although Matt Williams of Texas Tech seems to have cleared that up making all of this extra points.
Despite what some say, special teams will not play a large role in this game. There will be few punts and few field goals. The only ones who need to show up are the kickoff teams and extra point teams.
But, just for kicks, advantage Oklahoma.
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Coaching
Bob Stoops of the Oklahoma Sooners is the second winningest active college football coach, with 106 wins to just 23 loses. Brent Venables is the defensive coordinator—he has been coaching at the Sooners for the same amount of time as Stoops, 10 years.
Mike Leach, the mad scientist, is the head coach for the Texas Tech Red Raiders. While his record, 75-37, may not be as impressive as Stoops', Leach has managed to take his team to the next level of success with its best record since 1936. Leach also has a history of winning big games against the Sooners. Ruffin McNeill became the defensive coordinator for Tech last year after an embarrassing loss to OK State. Since, he has improved Tech's defense from No. 10 in the Big 12 to No. 2.
I give the coaching advantage to Texas Tech here. While Bob Stoops and his staff have all the experience in the world, I think Mike Leach will be better prepared for this game and more willing to take chances for the win.
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Intangibles
Texas Tech is rolling through the Big 12 with ease and will not want to lose this game. The Raiders know that this year is special and they will not want to lose control of their own destiny. They also have Michael Crabtree...
Oklahoma remembers last year's loss in Lubbock that quite possibly crushed its national championship hopes. The Sooners want revenge because this year it is at their house. The last time Oklahoma lost in Norman was the first game of the 2005 season against TCU. That is an impressive streak, though I would be more impressed if they did not play Texas at a neutral site every year.
Advantage Oklahoma—the home-field advantage will really help the Sooners, but will it be enough?
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Phew! That is a lot of numbers and matchups to sort through. Now, drumroll please... 
I pick Texas Tech to win this game, 52-36. My reasons are that Graham Harrell will have all day to throw the ball behind his fortified wall of linemen. Also, Baron Batch, Michael Crabtree, and Eric Morris will have huge days.
Texas Tech's defense will come up with big turnovers when it needs them and Sam Bradford will be pressured all day by a much-improved Tech D-line behind the coaching of Ruffin McNeill. 
Saturday night will be an air show for the ages in Norman—be prepared for anything.

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