UFC on Versus 5: Betting Odds and Predictions for Every Fight
UFC on Versus 5 is set to go down this Sunday night on free television and there are some great matchups with title and job implications on the line. The card is co-headlined by a highly anticipated punch-up between Dan "The Outlaw" Hardy vs. Chris Lytle and a lightweight top contender match between Jim Miller and Ben Henderson.
The Hardy-Lytle fight is between two extremely popular fighters and may determine who will keep their roster spot in the UFC. The Miller-Henderson fight will determine who the next in line is for a lightweight title shot.
Here are the betting odds and predictions for every fight on the card.
Edwin Figueroa vs. Jason Reinhardt
Figueroa Odds: NA
Reinhardt Odds: NA
Both of these fighters are coming off losses in their last outings and will be looking to make amends on each other on Sunday night.
Not much is known about these two fighters except that Reinhardt (20-2) is the more travelled and experienced fighter compared to Figueroa (7-1). He has fought the better competition so far in his career.
It it is also known that Reinhardt is moving down to bantamweight for the first time in the UFC at 41-years of age.
Pick: Figueroa (TKO Rd 2)
Jacob Volkmann vs. Danny Castillo
Volkmann Odds: NA
Castillo Odds: NA
Jakob Volkmann is on a solid three fight win streak right now going into this fight against youngster Danny Castillo. All three of those wins are at lightweight and he will be looking to continue that roll against the Urijah Faber training partner Castillo by taking him to the ground.
Castillo is also on a three fight winning streak coming in. Both of these fighters have fought some tough guys but I give the slight edge to Castillo and feel he has more ways then one to skin Volkmann's cat in this one.
Pick: Castillo (unanimous decision)
Cole Miller vs. TJ O'Brien
C. Miller Odds: NA
O'Brien Odds: NA
Even though Cole Miller is coming off a tough loss to Matt Wiman he is a very dangerous fighter anywhre the fight goes. He has particularly dangerous submission skills. TJ O'Brien was a superior submission specialist in his mid west regional promotion but is also coming off a loss in his UFC debut in November.
Both of these fighters are lanky and use that leverage extremely well when the fight hits the floor on occasion.
I think the vast experience of Miller takes the fight in the end
Pick: Miller (Submission Rd 2)
Alex Caceres vs. Jimy Hettes
"Bruce Leroy" Alex Caceres is getting another shot to prove he belongs in the UFC when he takes on newcomer Jimy Hettes. Caceres is coming off a quick first round loss to Mackens Sermerzier in March.
Jimy Hettes is a Brazilian jiu jitsu specialist making his UFC debut. He is an undefeated 8-0 with his wins all coming via submission.
This one is tough to call but I am expecting Hettes to control position with technical prowess.
Pick: Hettes (unanimous decision)
Karlos Vemola vs. Ronny Markes
Karlos Vemola is coming off a knockout win of Seth Petruzelli in his last outing to even up his UFC record at 1-1. He was set to take on fan favorite brawler Stephan Bonnar this weekend before Bonnar had to pull out with an injury.
Brazilian Ronny Markes is stepping in on short notice to replace Bonnar and is making his UFC debut. He is coming off of a win over Paulo Filho in April and has a solid 11-1 overall in his career fighting mostly Brazilian opponents in shows at home.
I see Vemola being a bit too much for the newcomer in this one
Pick: Vemola (KO Rd 1)
Ed Herman vs. Kyle Noke
Kyle Noke has put together a nice three fight win in the UFC and was set to take on Tom Lawler this weekend but will now be faced with fellow tough alum Ed Herman. Noke is a solid submission fighter who is challenged with solid wrestlers and Herman is that wrestler.
Herman is coming off a quick night win against Tim Creduer and it will be a very tough challenge for Noke to win this fight. Herman will be hungry to try to keep a little momentum going in his career and I'm sure he has the game plan to do it. I'm just not sure the execution will be there on short notice.
Pick: Noke (unanimous decision)
Joseph Benevidez vs. Eddie Wineland
Joseph Benevidez is a very exciting fighter who had a bit of a disappointing debut in the UFC in March in a win against Ian Loveland. He has fought the who's who in his division and his pace and wrestling skill are incredible. He needs to dominate in this fight this weekend.
Eddie Wineland is coming off a tough loss to Benevidez's training partner Urijah Faber in a thrown to the wolves UFC debut and is in a tough pposition early in his UFC career.
It is a tough one to call between these two fighters as both possess well rounded, high paced skills, but in the end I believe that Benevidez is the better fighter, and his wrestling will lead him to victory.
Pick: Benevidez (unanimous decision)
CB Dollaway vs. Jared Hamman
CB Dolloway took a big step up in competition in his last fight by facing Mark Munoz, and Munoz quickly sent him back down to the Jared Hamman's of the division. Dolloway has always been on that cusp of solid to overrated and this fight sees that pressure on him again.
Jared Hamman has a very tough loss to beast Alexander Gustafsson on his resume that occurred in his UFC debut. He followed that up with a Fight Of The Night win and loss in his next two outings. It's clear that Hamman brings the smoke when he steps in the cage and it should be an interesting matchup for Dolloway.
Pick: Dolloway (submission Rd 2)
Amir Sadollah vs. Duane Ludwig
Many people are pegging this fight as a Muay Thai vs. Kickboxing war but I have to believe that if Sadollah is the cerebral fighter I think he is, that he take the fight to where Ludwig is weak and that surely means the ground on Sunday night.
Sadollah has not been able to generate the real momentum he needs in his career to get him to higher rankings in the division and in many people's eyes, has underachieved since his TUF win.
Ludwig is a veteran of many kickboxing and MMA wars but is still vulnerable to submissions as he has been for his entire career.
Sadollah should be able to secure a takedown and get a win if he so chooses.
Pick: Sadollah (submission Rd 2)
Charles Oliveira vs. Donald Cerrone
This fight is an extremely intriguing match to predict and I am looking forward to it. Donald Cerrone is one of my all time favorite fighters and he is dangerous at all times in the fight whether it is standing up or on the ground. He can capitalize on a mistake in a split second.
Oliveira is a 21-year old fighter who is coming off two humbling lessons in his young career. A no contest against Nik Lentz due to Charles reckless, illegal knee and a lightning fast submission loss to Jim Miller before that should be two good lessons that the youngster can bank.
He is extremely exciting and dangerous everywhere, but I just don't see him beating the skill, savvy and calm of "The Cowboy"
Pick: Cerrone (unanimous decision)
Jim Miller vs. Benson Henderson
This fight is going to be one of my favorite fights of the year I think as Jim Miller or Ben Henderson will fight to see who is next in line for a shot at the coveted lightweight title.
This fight will pit the smooth and silky tough and durable Henderson against the brash brawler grind tough Miller. It's beautiful matchup that you don't get to see every day.
People don't know how to call this one and it sure is intriguing, but I feel like Miller will end up catching hold of Henderson at the right times with his punches and wrestling, and will end up taking a victory
Pick: Miller (unanimous decision)
Chris Lytle vs. Dan Hardy
Dan Hardy has his back against the wall on Sunday night and you can bet he'll come out swinging against banger Chris Lytle.
Hardy is trying to avoid the dreaded fourth loss in a row which would surely leave him in no mans land if not cut from the UFC.
Lytel is well, Lytle and he will bring a reckless abandon meant to confuse Hardy and entertain the fans. He is that type of guy.
In th end I think it will be Hardy's technical punching and hunger that will outwork the veteran and bring him a much needed victory.
Pick: Hardy (KO Rd 3)
All odds available at the time of this article were sourced at Sportsbet.com
Dwight Wakabayashi is a Featured Columnist for Bleacher Report MMA (also a Correspondent with MMACanada.net).
Catch him on Twitter @wakafightermma.