The things that seem obvious to me may not seem so to most (as I have come to learn). I do not make outlandish predictions to garner attention. I make predictions that many do not understand because they haven't exercised independent, non-guided thought.
Perhaps they don't possess the capacity for such thought (you would be surprised how many people are actually incapable of this) it's not easy. But the predictions I make are extremely logical. I also take into account the intangibles.
People think that throwing stats around in conversation makes their case. Though stats do aid an argument, they do not MAKE the argument.
The truth is, the intangibles (weather, emotion, clutch decision-making, coaching decisions, your gut, etc.) are what influence and create stats, not the other way around.
The LSU faithful got all torn up this summer when I said that the SEC West race was wide open when Ryan Perrilloux got booted from the team. Would anyone like to question me now?
No one could have predicted exactly how the two QBs would perform for LSU, which is why I didn't. But you knew they would struggle.
Two guys who were new to the program who may not have really sucked in the offense last season (because everyone knew Perrilloux was to be the starter) were now expected to run the offense of the defending National Champs.
Tiger fans wouldn't believe this because they didn't want to (that whole independent thought thing).
I then talked about how Les Miles really isn't that great of a coach. Gasp! "He's won a National Championship. His record is so-and-so!"
Intangibles, people.
Les Miles is losing recruits to the Urban Meyer's and Nick Saban's of the world. LSU fans won't accept that Saban and his staff are far superior to Miles and his. Once Bo Pelini left, you knew that the staff wasn't that great anymore.
I understand that LSU fans are probably the most passionate around. But for them to have such passion, they can't allow for objectivity. If they had objectivity, they wouldn't be in Miles' corner as much as they are.
Miles has made questionable call after questionable call in his career at LSU. He proved last year that, yes, someone can be lucky for an entire year.
There is no doubt that LSU was the best team in the country last year. But more and more of the uber recruits signed by Saban were leaving LSU due to graduation.
Saban taught these players to practice, study, play, and live like champions. Not taking away from Les Miles as a teacher, but that's a tough act to mimic. You either have it or you don't. He may have a little of "it," but nothing like his predecessor has.
I also spoke of how Miles was geared to bolt for Michigan. This is truth. Kirk Herbstreit let the cat out of the bag, and a previously in-the-dark LSU administration quickly threw huge contract at Miles (for about a nickel more money than Saban makes... hmm) after he had a desperate emergency news conference to cover his own hide.
He didn't want such a good football team to fall apart and lose his chance at an SEC and National Championship. It worked and Miles made the best decision for his team...kind of.
Les Miles was now stuck. He promised not to leave and did not want to look like Saban had as a betrayer. Or as Miles calls him, "devil." If Miles sounds threatened by LSU's first love (whom we never forget), that's because he is.
He knew last year that Saban was going to steal more of his recruits and that he would have to play him every year. The Bo Schembechler disciple was headed to his alma mater.
Schembechler was a father figure for Miles. He also knew he could recruit better at Michigan with less competition for recruits.





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