UFC 133: 5 Betting Tips

Jordan LuchtefeldContributor IIAugust 4, 2011

UFC 133: 5 Betting Tips

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    Let’s start off by saying that the UFC 133 card has changed more times than P Diddy has changed his name. 

    On paper, there aren’t a lot of big names that will draw a huge amount of pay-per-view buys, but through the eyes of a gambler, there are definitely some intriguing matchups. 

    The main event and the co-main event both have huge underdogs.  But are Akiyama or Tito Ortiz really worth the risk?  We will find out.  But what I have come to find out is that betting on fights definitely makes them more exciting, and it really keeps me on the edge of my seat even during a boring fight. 

    Since the main card isn’t the best fight card in the history of the UFC, then why not throw a little bit of money down to make things more interesting. 

    Warning: It is not my fault if you take my advice and end up losing money. These are just tips to help put some money in viewers’ pockets. 

    The breakdown of the main card is on the next couple of slides but there was one matchup on Spike TV that really caught my eye: Chad Mendes vs. Rani Yayha.  Mendes is a huge favorite in this fight, and I mean huge. 

    He is the biggest favorite on the card as Yayha is the biggest underdog.  Putting money on a huge underdog is always fun. and Yayha is hovering around a plus-400 (ex: bet $10, Yayha wins, you win $40).  This is probably a sucker bet, but you could also start the night off with a bang if he wins. 

    Good luck with the rest of the card!

Brian Ebersole vs. Dennis Hallman

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    Hallman vs. Ebersole is a very interesting matchup between two veterans who are not well known by the mainstream mixed martial arts crowd. But both of these warriors have some notable wins in the welterweight division. 

    Ebersole is coming off of a very impressive win over fight of the night specialist Chris Lytle, and Hallman holds two victories over the former champion Matt Hughes. 

    Ebersole is a very unorthodox fighter and his style is confusing for most of his opponents.  The bad boy is currently riding a streak that has him winning 12 of his last 13 fights with the only loss coming to Bellator Middleweight Champion Hector Lombard. 

    Hallman is known as a submission specialist who has been fighting since 1996.  Hallman is a fighter that is always prepared for his opponent and looks to get it to the ground, so he can utilize his world class jiu-jitsu skills.  Hallman decided to show off his striking skills by putting away Karo Parisyan in his last fight at UFC 123.

    This fight holds the distinction of having the two most experienced fighters on the card as they combine for over 125 fights.  The odds makers have this fight as a total toss up and I couldn’t agree more. 

    I think that if Ebersole can keep this fight on the feet, then he should be able to score a TKO or win a decision.  Put your money on Ebersole but be cautious because Hallman is no slouch and really wants to stick around the UFC for as long as he can.

Rory MacDonald vs. Mike Pyle

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    Rory MacDonald taking on Mike Pyle is a matchup that will separate two welterweight contenders.  Whoever wins this fight will have to be considered a top contender for the belt and whoever loses this fight will most likely end up on an upcoming Fight Night card. 

    The welterweight division is jam-packed with exciting young talent along with some skilled veterans. 

    MacDonald is only 22 years old and only has one loss in 12 professional fights.  The only blemish on his record comes to welterweight wrecking ball Carlos Condit.  MacDonald was thrown up against Condit in only his second UFC fight and some of the hype behind “Ares” started to fizzle out. 

    MacDonald however got back on track with a win over Nate Diaz at UFC 129 and is now looking to solidify his position in the division.

    Pyle is 13 years older than his opponent and has truly been around the block in the world of mixed martial arts.  He prefers to take fights to the ground and look for a submission, having 16 of his 21 wins coming by way of submission. 

    Pyle is currently riding a three-fight win streak with his most recent win coming over Ricardo Almeida at UFC 128.  The Xtreme Couture product poses threats for anyone in the welterweight division, and MacDonald will have to be at the top of his game to avoid Pyle’s takedowns.

    MacDonald is a big favorite in this fight with Pyle being a two-to-one underdog.  MacDonald’s skills inside the cage are undeniable and it is amazing how popular he has become at such a young age. 

    Pyle knocked off a 23-year-old John Hathaway last October, who was an undefeated youngster with a lot of hype surrounding him.  So does Pyle have another upset in him? 

    I’m going to say probably not and that your money should be going towards MacDonald.  There is a reason Pyle is a two-to-one dog; MacDonald is a stud.

Constantinos Philippou vs. Jorge Rivera

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    Constantinos Philippou stepped in on short notice against Jorge Rivera when Alessio Sakara when down with a knee injury.  Philippou was originally supposed to face Rafael Natal on this card but was asked to step up and fight on the main card and try and make a name for himself. 

    Rivera, on the other hand, was scheduled to face Sakara but was scrapped for an unprecedented third time! 

    El Conquistador Rivera will now try and bounce back after a crushing loss to Middleweight contender Michael Bisping. 

    Rivera will be fighting for the 13th time inside the octagon, where he holds seven wins to go along with five loses.  Rivera is a hard working fighter who will surely have no problem getting prepared for Philippou.

    Constantinos Philippou is coming off of a decision loss to Nick Catone in his first UFC fight.  He was also put into that fight on short notice when Dan Miller was moved up to fight Nate Marquardt. 

    Philippou is a gutsy fighter who is willing to take any fight that UFC management throws at him.  But being a gutsy fighter might also be a major weakness.

    Jorge Rivera is hungry after losing to his rival Bisping and will look to end this fight early with his strikes.  Rivera isn’t considered a big time favorite in this bout with his line hovering around minus-160. 

    Philippou deserves respect for stepping into this fight but he better be ready to go to war.  This seems like an easy bet for Rivera, and if the line stays where it is, then there is definitely some money to be made.

Vitor Belfort vs. Yoshihiro Akiyama

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    Vitor Belfort taking on Yoshihiro Akiyama is a Middleweight bout that has the possibility of being the most entertaining bout on the main card. 

    Akiyama will undoubtedly be cut if he loses this fight, and Vitor’s future will get really blurry if he doesn’t pull out a win.  Vitor is fighting for relevance in the division and Sexyama is fighting for his job.  That combination equals a potential war for the ages.

    Akiyama has dropped his last two fights to top contenders Michael Bisping and Chris Leben after winning his UFC debut in a controversial split decision over Alan Belcher. 

    Akiyama has never really lived up to his potential since entering the UFC and this might be his last shot to prove that he can be a top Middleweight in the world.  His window to take over as UFC’s best Japanese fighter is closing fast as he recently turned 36 years old. 

    His back is up against the wall, and maybe we will find out just how dangerous he can be.

    Vitor has the potential to be the most dangerous striker in the UFC if he is at the top of his game.  The Phenom is coming off a brutal knockout loss to Anderson Silva, by way of Steven Seagal front-kick. 

    But Vitor knows how important this fight is to his career, and it is likely that he will come out guns blazing, trying to end this fight quickly and violently.  The interesting thing about Vitor is that all of his losses have come to the best fighters in the world while they were in the prime of their careers. 

    Here’s the list: Anderson Silva, Dan Henderson, Overeem (twice), Tito Ortiz , Couture (twice), Liddell, Sakuraba.

    Vitor is the heavy, heavy favorite in this fight and for good reason.  Vitor has a habit of losing to top notch, world-class fighters, and Sexyama is certainly not in the prime of his career.  Sexyama is in for the toughest fight of his career, and if he isn’t ready, then it’s going to be a short night for him. 

    Putting money on Vitor isn’t going to help your bank account out too much because he is such a favorite.  Consider putting him in a parlay along with another heavy favorite in order to make some decent money.

Tito Ortiz vs. Rashad Evans II

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    Rashad vs. Tito part two is a rematch of a fight that happened all the way back in 2007 at UFC 73 that resulted in a draw.  Ortiz stepped in after Phil Davis had to pull out due to an injury. 

    There has recently been some major trash talking between these two, and it will be exciting to see whether or not the talking will lead to a good fight. 

    Rashad was in line for a title fight with former teammate Jon Jones until Jones was reported to have an injury, which forced him out of a highly anticipated matchup between two former friends.  Rashad might have some ring rust as he hasn’t fought since May 2010 against Rampage at UFC 114. 

    The reason “Suga” hasn’t fought in such a long time is because he has been waiting for a chance to get his light heavyweight belt back.  But things just haven’t worked out in his favor, so now he will be taking on one of his rivals in the Huntington Beach Bad Boy.

    Tito recently got his first win inside the octagon since 2006 after defeating Ryan Bader in the very first round.  Ortiz is taking a huge step forward in his career by taking on the former champ Evans, and a lot of Tito’s critics think that he is in way over his head. 

    Dana White said that if Tito can pull out a victory on Saturday night, then he is right back in title contention.  The Huntington Beach Bad Boy never shies away from the spotlight, but he better be ready because this might be his last opportunity to put his name back with the elite.

    Evans is the big time favorite in this fight against Ortiz.  A big reason that he is considered such a big favorite is because of his explosive takedowns to go along with his quick hands. 

    Rashad should be able to win this fight if it stays standing or if he decides to take Tito down and grind him out for three rounds.  The easy money is obviously on Evans but underdogs are more fun to cheer for. 

    Go Crazy and put a small amount of money on Tito!  It is a chance to triple your money.  Anything can happen.