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McIlroy has a game that is not suited for links golf. Further, links golf is unnatural to him.
While his area of the world is synonymous with links golf courses, McIlroy learned to play in a much different environment. Hollywood Golf Club is a tree lined, narrow course with small greens.
McIlroy without a doubt, has incredible talent. Playing on the links however takes away his main strengths as a golfer. It also forces him to play in a way that isn't very natural for him.
He doesn't want to run the ball to the hole, he wants to fly it. He is much more tailored to Augusta or Congressional than to Royal St. George's.
While he has enough ability to win at a links course, the factors this week may prove too much. The bad weather and number of other contending golfers will make his comeback a long shot.