Boston Red Sox: 10 Bold Predictions for the Second Half

By (Correspondent) on July 6, 2011

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PITTSBURGH - JUNE 25: Kevin Youkilis #20 and teammate Tim Wakefield #49 of the Boston Red Sox sit in the dugout during the game against of the Pittsburgh Pirates on June 25, 2011 at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania.  (Photo by Jared Wickerham/Getty Im
Jared Wickerham/Getty Images

The unknown drives baseball fans nuts.

They want to know who will win the World Series, the MVP, and the CY Young. In reality, any predictions are sheer guesses.

We are about halfway through the season, and the Red Sox have given us some scares and some moments of brilliance.

At the beginning of the season, fans thought the Red Sox were done. They said that the team had overpaid for Crawford and that the Red Sox pitching was overrated

After much criticism the Red Sox started to show why they were picked by many to win the World Series.

As the season is getting into full swing, here is a list of bold predictions for the Red Sox this season.

10. Carl Crawford Will Hit .300

NEW YORK, NY - JUNE 09:  Carl Crawford of the Boston Red Sox against the New York Yankees on June 9, 2011 at Yankee Stadium in the Bronx borough of New York City.  (Photo by Nick Laham/Getty Images)
Nick Laham/Getty Images

Red Sox fans are probably losing sleep every night thinking about Carl Crawford.

With the money he’s receiving, his numbers are horrendous. Crawford is too good to be hitting .243 this year. Crawford has hit around .300 his entire career—his lowest batting average was during his rookie season in 2002.

Since then, Crawford has hit at least .273. I think the nation would accept a .275 average this year, but he can do better.

In addition, Crawford has only eight steals this season. With the exception of 2002 and 2008, Crawford has at least 47 steals in a season.

9. Adrian Gonzalez Will Win MVP

BOSTON, MA  - JUNE 20:  Adrian Gonzalez #28 of the Boston Red Sox connects for a one-run double against the San Diego Padres at Fenway Park on June 20, 2011 in Boston, Massachusetts.  (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)
Jim Rogash/Getty Images

If it weren’t for Jose Bautista, Gonzalez would be a possible Triple Crown threat. I still am very skeptical of Bautista because I can’t see him having two great seasons in a row—he was almost a bench player.

Gonzalez has the career numbers to back up the claim he will win MVP. He has more RBIs then Bautista (Gonzalez 75, Bautista, 58) and a better batting average (.348 Gonzalez, .331 Bautista).

Bautista has the edge over him in home runs (28 compared to 16), but Gonzalez plays for a contending team and Bautista doesn’t. Voters sometimes consider a team’s year-end rank.

8. Josh Reddick Will Replace J.D. Drew

BOSTON, MA  - JUNE 21:  Josh Reddick #16 of the Boston Red Sox knocks in a run against the San Diego Padres at Fenway Park on June 21, 2011 in Boston, Massachusetts.  (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)
Jim Rogash/Getty Images

J.D. Drew has been an anomaly his entire career. He has moments of greatness, and then moments where he looks like he has never picked up a bat before.

This may be the last straw for Drew this year.

The Red Sox have given Drew plenty of opportunities throughout his mediocre time with the team. Reddick has all the potential in the world to help the Red Sox in future years.

7. Josh Beckett’s Numbers Will Go Down

HOUSTON, TX - JULY 03:  Pitcher Josh Beckett #19 of the Boston Red Sox pitches in the first inning against the Houston Astros at Minute Maid Park on July 3, 2011 in Houston, Texas.  (Photo by Bob Levey/Getty Images)
Bob Levey/Getty Images

Beckett has put together a Cy Young-type of season, but it won’t last.

Right now, he has a 2.12 ERA , is 7-3, has opponents batting .178 against him, has pitched 106 innings and has 91 strikeouts. Those are some great numbers for Beckett and if he keeps up this pace, it would be the best pitching performance of his career.

Beckett has had too many injuries, so I wouldn’t be surprised to see him back on the disabled list before the season ends.

6. Bobby Jenks Will Bounce Back

CLEVELAND - APRIL 05: Bobby Jenks #52 of the Boston Red Sox watches the action during the game against the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field on April 5, 2011 in Cleveland, Ohio. The Indians defeated the Red Sox 3-1.  (Photo by Leon Halip/Getty Images
Leon Halip/Getty Images

Well, the good news is that it can’t get much worse for Jenks.

If you’re going by career numbers, Jenks is having by far his worst year. He has a 6.75 ERA, and opponents are batting .333 against him.

I think adjusting to a non-closer role has been hard for Jenks, but as he gets used to it, expect things to change for the better.

5. Kevin Youkilis Will Sit Out Most of the Year

BOSTON, MA  - JULY 4:  Kevin Youkilis #20 of the Boston Red Sox leaves the game after being hit by a pitch against the Toronto Blue Jays at Fenway Park on July 4, 2011 in Boston, Massachusetts.  (Photo by Jim Rogash/Getty Images)
Jim Rogash/Getty Images

This is kind of random, I know.

Youkilis is having so many injury issues as of late, and it seems like bad luck is in the cards this year. He is a key contributor to the Red Sox, and it would be a huge blow to the team if he got hurt.

He not only helps with hitting, but his fielding is solid and he tires pitchers out because he takes so many pitches.

4. Dustin Pedroia Will Win a Silver Slugger Award

BOSTON, MA - JULY 05:  Dustin Pedroia #15 of the Boston Red Sox rounds first base after his solo home run in the third inning against the Toronto Blue Jays  on July 5, 2011 at Feway Park in Boston, Massachusetts.  (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
Elsa/Getty Images

It will be a difficult task beating out Robinson Cano, but these are bold predictions.

Pedroia is kind of flying under the radar this year. He has eight home runs (tied for 4th among American League second basemen), 39 RBIs (3rd among AL second basemen), 61 walks (1st), 16 steals (2nd), 50 runs (4th), 89 hits (2nd) and is batting .277 (3rd).

If Cano starts to slump, then Pedroia is the obvious choice for the Silver Slugger.

3. David Ortiz Will Hit 40 Home Runs

BOSTON, MA - JULY 05:  David Ortiz #34 of the Boston Red Sox is congratulated by teammates in the dugout after he scored a run off a hit by teammate Jason Varitek in the second inning against the Toronto Blue Jays on July 5, 2011 at Feway Park in Boston,
Elsa/Getty Images

Wow! Just last year and this year, people were talking about benching Ortiz because his numbers were going down.

Well, he proved everyone wrong.

This year, he has 17 home runs. Big Papi is starting to look like his old self again. It doesn’t hurt hitting behind Kevin Youkilis or Adrian Gonzalez, either.

2. The Red Sox Will Have a Losing Record Against the Yankees From Here On Out

BOSTON - APRIL 06:  Jacoby Ellsbury #2 of the Boston Red Sox slides home safely past Jorge Posada #20 of the New York Yankees in the first inning on April 6, 2010 at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts.  (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)
Elsa/Getty Images

The Red Sox have dominated the Yankees this year, posting an 8-1 record against them.

They have completely outplayed the Yankees in every facet of the game: the Red Sox have 60 runs compared to 37 from the Yankees; Phil Hughes is now back on the Yankees roster, making a world of a difference; and some of the slumping Yankee hitters will start to pick up like Mark Teixeira and Brett Gardner.

It doesn’t matter how bad the Yankees look on paper. At the end of the year, they are always at the top of the division.

1. The Red Sox Won’t Make the Playoffs

BOSTON - OCTOBER 11:  Jonathan Papelbon #58 of the Boston Red Sox leaves the dugout after losing 7-6 to the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim in Game Three of the ALDS during the 2009 MLB Playoffs at Fenway Park on October 11, 2009 in Boston,  Massachusetts.
Jim Rogash/Getty Images

Wait, what?

Yes, it's true. The Red Sox will not be able to reach the playoffs this year. There are many reasons this statement will be true.

One, they have no chemistry. In order to build a good team, the way players interact with other teammates is important.

Another reason the Red Sox won’t make the playoffs is the fact that too many players are underachieving, and this disappointing performance is spreading like a virus. For example, Jon Lester, John Lackey, and Dan Wheeler. These players are not playing anywhere near their usual standard.

Instead of two teams coming from the East, I think the Tigers or Indians will take the wild-card spot. It is amazing what determination can yield, and the will to win is strongest in Cleveland and Detroit.

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