I'm ready for a weekend of some conference play football.
Usually when I look at the schedule and not too many games pop out at me, I think that by the times the lines come out I'll have a good idea on most of them. This week is no different.
I'm excited to watch some good conference play, and while I haven't written up as many games as I normally do, I will probably sneak a few more picks in when I do my weekly Saturday line change article.
Who knows—maybe I'll even throw an extra pick into the free newsletter this week. That would be in addition to the two in-depth analyzed games I normally do.
This week's free picking contest appears to be bigger than last week's, but as the numbers grow, so does the fun in seeing how you did compared to other people. It's free and easy to enter, and while you are running out of time, if you are reading this a few hours before kickoff on Saturday, you still have time to enter.
In any event let's get back to picking some games.
Georgia +6 1/2 Vs. Florida (Saturday, Nov. 1, 3:30 EST): 4 out of 10
Most people who read my articles know that unless this game is in my newsletter, it probably isn't a play I feel too strongly about, and to be 100 percent honest, this may be as much of a "hunch" play as I play.
While Jordan and his 59-21 record against the spread this season are on the Gators, I'm back on the Georgia Bulldogs. All week the spread has been moving up, and while I feel OK here at 6 1/2, I know 7 isn't too far behind, as I see hardly anyone who is on the Dawgs.
Statistically, this one is all Florida, even if you look at the way the teams have been playing, with the Gators looking flashy and having a special teams unit that is truly one of the best units of any kind in the country this year.
I think that not only is this a case where public perception has simply taken hold, but where we are just getting way too many points to pass up as the underdog has covered in five of the past seven cocktail parties. Last year was the first time the margin of victory was greater than seven points since 2001.
I honestly believe that this line comes from the first half of the Georgia-Alabama game. While Florida has played extremely well and covered some big numbers, it will be interesting to see how and if they can stop the human highlight film that is Knowshon Moreno.
Personally, I just think the Bulldogs are a "tougher" team and take it to the Gators head on. This should be a classic, and no matter who walks out of Jacksonville with the win, it will probably be another close one, so I'm on the Georgia Bulldogs with the points. Is anyone really surprised?
See more of Mitch's Week 10, Part Four college football picks against the spread.