One fact certain with each NASCAR season is the surprises and disappointments that emerge with drivers and their performance.
There are but 12 shots left for the drivers in the elite series of NASCAR to make the Chase and contend for the series Championship.
The fans of the sport can rest assured they will see certain drivers fall to the bottom half of the point standings and secure their place there.
This season we are seeing the re-ignition of Dale Earnhardt Jr., yet Denny Hamlin who finished second to the five-time champion last year, has struggled to get traction in the points.
The usual suspects like Carl Edwards, Jimmie Johnson, Kevin Harvick and some others are hanging tough in the all-important top 10.
The drivers with expected strength each year tend to migrate up and down in the top 12 of points, sometimes dropping out briefly only to rally back.
Drivers like Greg Biffle, who should be a contender for the Chase, struggles for wins and dangles just beneath the prime spots in the standings including the wild card slots.
Heading to Michigan for the Heluva Good! Sour Cream Dips 400, we see some real shockers who have failed to perform as expected and should be ranked much higher in the points.
As the season plays out, it becomes more evident a driver will probably need two wins to make the wild card position of 11th and 12th in the points. They will also need to be 20th or higher in the standings.
Let's take a look at the surprising drivers who have probably blown it for the season with little chance of making the Chase even if they somehow find a win along the way.