New Mexico really needs this game to get back to .500 and inch closer to a bowl bid. The Lobos have won six straight against San Diego State, and this year the Lobos have been up and down, so no wins are guaranteed.
San Diego State, as its record indicates, is not very good this year, and if quarterback Ryan Lindley can't go because of injury, the prospects of the Aztecs getting a win are not good.
New Mexico is decent in its run defense and that is all it will need to stop the very stagnant running game of the Aztecs. San Diego has only 284 yards of rushing on the year. Yes, the college game includes sacks in the rushing yards, but the Aztecs' top two rushers haven't done much through six games—Atiyyah Henderson has 146 on the year and Brandon Sullivan has 142.
Part of that is due to the Aztecs being down and needing to pass a lot, because the two average 3.8 and 3.9 yards, respectively. New Mexico should have little problems stopping this so-called running attack.
New Mexico will just run Rodney Ferguson until he can run no more because the Aztecs have been giving up big plays or a lot of rushing yards this year. Quarterback Brad Gruner should be able to have a good game because the Aztecs are giving up nearly 30 points per game, and, believe it or not, their pass defense is worse then their run defense.
Final Score New Mexico 34, San Diego State 10