Over the Limit is shaping up to be the most predictable PPV in years, which does not bode well when trying to generate buys for the second PPV in a month.
After looking back, the only show that I thought was as predictable as the upcoming Over the Limit was Elimination Chamber 2011.
Look back at the card for Elimination Chamber:
Alberto Del Rio defeated Kofi Kingston - There was no chance that Kofi Kingston would defeat Del Rio, especially after Del Rio won the Royal Rumble. There was no way that they would do anything to harm his reputation going into Wrestlemania.
Edge (c) won the SD Elimination Chamber - With heels Kane, Drew McIntyre, Wade Barrett and Dolph Ziggler (who was later replaced by the Big Show) and then Rey Mysterio, you knew that only Edge or Mysterio would win to face Del Rio. When you add in the fact that Del Rio had started off facing Mysterio to begin his career with WWE, by process of elimination, Edge had to win.
The Corre defeated Santino Marella and Vladimir Kozlov (c) for the Tag Team titles - The Corre was up-and-coming, while Santino and Kozlov were nothing more than a comedy act. The Corre had to win.
The Miz (c) defeated Jerry Lawler for the WWE Title- There's no explanation even needed. Would the King really go into Wrestlemania as WWE Champion? I don't think so.
John Cena won the Raw Elimination Chamber - Cena came in fresh off of starting a feud with the Rock a week earlier, and you knew that Cena had to be in the main event at Wrestlemania.
So as you can see looking back, the Elimination Chamber card was extremely predictable. The only doubt I had was that maybe the Rock would cost Cena the match, but that would come at Wrestlemania instead.
Switching gears to Over the Limit, look at the announced card already:
John Cena (c) vs. the Miz, I Quit Match for the WWE Title - Cena just won the title a month ago, and many people have speculated that Cena will hold the title until Wrestlemania 28. Plus, people have speculated that Alberto Del Rio will face Cena at SummerSlam for the title. There's virtually no way they would have Cena drop the title within three weeks.
Randy Orton (c) vs. Christian for the World Heavyweight Title - Can you imagine the uprising that would happen if the World Heavyweight championship changed hands two weeks later, after changing hands five days after WrestleMania? Orton is the face of SmackDown now, and there's no way they would harm his credibility this quickly. Plus, it is proven that WWE doesn't believe in Christian as a champion.
Ezekiel Jackson vs. Wade Barrett (c) for the IC Title - Big Zeke has all the momentum, especially after breaking away from the Corre. It would be very hard to believe if they would decide to have Zeke lose this match.
Jerry Lawler vs. Michael Cole - With this being a one-on-one match, there's no question that the King will win. Plus, this feud has to end. It has jumped-the-shark 50 times by now.
All of the announced matches seem extremely predictable and even the yet to be announced matches seem predictable.
Based on the current storylines, I think the following matches will be on the card:
R-Truth vs. Rey Mysterio - Truth has everything to gain from winning this match. He needs to win this match to continue his build as one of the top heels on Raw. If he loses, the past month has been a complete waste.
Mason Ryan and CM Punk vs. Kane and the Big Show (c) - Mason Ryan continues to be built up, and you would think the perfect way to add more legitimacy to his persona would be to give him a title (in this case the Tag Team titles).
I also think that there will have to be some type of number one contender match for the World Heavyweight title featuring Cody Rhodes, Sheamus, Mark Henry and others. By putting two faces in the SmackDown main event, it really puts pressure on creative for what to do with all of the heels.
Overall, you can see the results for Over the Limit from a mile away. If WWE really wants to justify having a second PPV within three weeks, they definitely need to do a better job of creating believable storylines.
So what do you think is the more predictable PPV, Elimination Chamber 2011 or Over the Limit 2011?
Or do you think there is a more predictable PPV than both of them?
Feel free to comment below about what you think is the most predictable PPV in recent memory.
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