Atlanta, GA—We're 7-2 over the last two weeks. Our two losses came from our gamble on a Vandy upset and an Auburn team that we predicted was vulnerable. So far, we have been on the money with most games. Here are our picks for Saturday, Oct. 18, 2008.
SEC Game of the Week
LSU vs. South Carolina in the Hen House
ESPN picked this game over Georgia-Vandy for a reason. There should be lots of drama. South Carolina has a debut start for Stephen Garcia as their freshman quarterback. Garcia looked good against Kentucky and was a big contributor to the comeback win. LSU took a beating in the Swamp from a very fast, talented Florida team.
Game time is 8 pm, and this one could give us another upset pickup. We have picked SC when the oddsmakers did not, and we were right for the last two weeks. This game is setting up for Spurrier nicely.
We like the Gamecocks, 28-24.
SEC Upset of the Week
Miss State vs. Tennessee in Rocky Top
Both teams are 2-4 and at the bottom of their divisions. Phillip Fulmer is struggling, and his athletic director opened the door on conditions that would lead to a head coaching change. Fulmer has already started blaming his quarterbacks, which is a bad sign. There is a leak in the dam, and the water is rising.
The Vols are at home and favored by 8.5 points, but the team is in turmoil. Miss State is fighting for respect, and we believe this is a perfect upset scenario. If Tennessee loses, the clock on Fulmer will be ticking loudly. Take State and the points. If there is an SEC upset this week, this will be the game.
Our score: State wins 13-10.
SEC East Game
Vandy vs. Georgia between the Hedges
Last year, the Bulldogs had to kick a field goal with no time left to win. This year, Vandy has more confidence and a 5-1 record. Vandy has played Georgia close the last few years, and this game should be no different.
The Bulldogs have had to create a new offensive line every week. This should be a fun game to watch. Stafford will have another big passing game.
We like the Dawgs, 31-21.
SEC West Game
Ole Miss vs. Alabama in Tuscaloosa
Both teams had last week off, so it should be a good fight. Ole Miss beat a very good Florida team in the Swamp a few weeks ago. Ole Miss believes they can beat Bama. We see this game as another offensive shootout.
We like Bama, 35-28.
SEC East vs. SEC West
Arkansas vs. Kentucky in Blue Land
Kentucky lost their best receiver last week in Dicky Lyons Jr., who was injured in a freak tackle against South Carolina. The Cats defense is tough, especially the front four. Arkansas put a victory on Auburn last week and will try to ride that wave a little longer.
We like the Cats, 20-14.
Jay Holgate is a sports analyst and can be heard on sports radio around the South. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org. Check out SEC Sports Report for the latest on SEC sports! For Avid SEC Fans Only!