Picture perfect point spread preview
It’s Super Bowl XLV, the Green Bay Packers vs. the Pitsburgh Steelers. Using a different database than our previous breakdown, we look at the game from another key standpoint of the spread investor.
The nation’s best sports handicappers make the most of these key performance indicators in predicting the against the spread picks with the performance gap breakdowns.
The 2011 Super Bowl betting odds on this contest are Green Bay (-3) with a total of 44.5 or 45.
Contrasting the yards per rush figures on offense, the facts give the edge to the Pittsburgh Steelers by .2.
Insofar as passing yards per completion on offense, the computations favor the Steelers by .4.
So many professional bettors make the most of yards per point. Offensively the more productive numbers are owned by Pittsburgh by the slimmest .1 margin.
Of the many sports handicapping picks out there, the premier sports service advice on this contest is What a long, great run it was again. No handicapper has ever dominated any sport—decade after decade—the way GodsTips has the National Football League going back to our scorephone days. Another sensational day yesterday makes us 67-40 overall, with several money line underdogs. With Wise Guys, we are 31-14.
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Defensively the more tightfisted unit against the run according to yards per rush is Pittsburgh by a stunning 1.5.
Yards per reception digits favor the Steelers as well by 1.1.
Calculations on the yards per point math gives the upper hand to the Green Bay Packers by 2.2.
Now to net turnover margin, the better squad has been Pittsburgh by three.
Yards per point is determined by dividing total yards by number of points. Offensively a lower number is considered more efficient. On defense, a higher number is better.
Spread betting trends (all records are against the spread): Pittsburgh is 9-1 in their last 10 playoff games, 16-5 as an underdog of 0.5-3.0, 34-16 as underdog.
Green Bay is 19-6 after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
Over/under trends: Pittsburgh over 16-5 playoffs. Green Bay under 8-3 off win.