College Basketball Picks Against The Spread: George Washington Vs. Duquesne

Joe DuffyAnalyst IFebruary 1, 2011

The Dukes will get easy points, but won't cover the point spread says expert
The Dukes will get easy points, but won't cover the point spread says expertGregory Shamus/Getty Images

Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a sports pick Wednesday on George Washington (+16) at Duquesne.

Reasoning: I will give this Duquesne team a ton of credit for being completely dominant of late, as they have blown up in a great way. The Dukes are legit and probably deserve a top 25 ranking, and as of right now, are an at-large tournament team. 

They’re 15-5 overall and a perfect 7-0 in the A-10. Bill Clark, Damien Saunders and the rest of the Dukes have been smacking around all comers of late, and should be an extremely confident team. Tonight at home, they will improve to 8-0 in conference, but at some point this somewhat overachieving run will have to come to an end.

Duquesne is not really 10-straight-win-good or beat-Temple-easily good, which they did, and right now are a tad overvalued because of this recent run. George Washington is extremely mediocre and not the kind of team that can go on the road and win in a spot such as this one.

However, the Colonials have been very good defensively, and have been playing games in the 50’s and 60’s on a regular basis. I don’t expect that here, but if they can only allow about 20 points more than normal—which is a ton—and keep the Dukes in possibly the 70’s, I don’t see why the visitors can’t stay within single digits, no less this gaudy number.

GW has allowed 46, 81, 62, 68, 67, 52, 71, 67, 50 and 57 over the past few weeks. I’m not saying these guys are a lockdown team that is great, but Karl Hobbs has been preaching the D. If they can even do a little bit of defending today, then this low post is going to prove to be way too large.

It will be a 78-68 final!

Top expert pick on this game: George Washington

For more information: Not only is the biggest play I possess and a bomb-dropping 500,000* covering the solid underdog number tonight, but they are also winning outright and I’m putting my money where my mouth is.

500,000* Underdog Lock of my Life plus a 200,000* on the moneyline with that exact same dog and another 200,000* winner. I have never in my entire career released any one play in any sport for this much, ever! Yes that’s right, 700,000* on the line in this one 9:00 game, including calling for the outright and giving away a third winner as well. Today is the day! Get Matt Rivers stunner