Washington Redskins: Cammed If They Do, Cammed If They Don't

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Washington Redskins: Cammed If They Do, Cammed If They Don't
Christian Petersen/Getty Images

It's only January, but that hasn't stopped many here on Bleacher Report as well as the Guru of the Draft himself, Mel Kiper Jr., from making predictions on what every team in the first round will do.

Never mind that the draft isn't until the end of April, and we still have the Super Bowl and combine to get through.  A lot can happen between now and then.

This leads me to maybe Kiper's boldest prediction, and that is Cam Newton going to the Redskins at the No. 10 spot.

No doubt a lot of draft boards have Cam Newton rated in the top 10 and that Dan Snyder loves to make a splash in the offseason; bringing in an electrifying player such as Newton would surely make a splash.

However, it isn't Dan Snyder running the show anymore, it's Mike Shanahan, and I'm pretty sure Shanny doesn't draft players based on what the marketing department says.

It's well known that Shanahan likes veterans.  After all, instead of trying to trade up and get Sam Bradford, he decided to trade for Donovan McNabb.  While trying to find a replacement for John Elway in Denver, he signed Jake Plumber instead of drafting a quarterback.

In fact when he finally did decide to draft a quarterback, he went with pro-ready Jay Cutler.

While the book is still out on Cutler's overall career, he is playing in the NFC Championship game on Sunday, and when he's on he looks really good.

If they're both at the ten spot who would you rather see the team draft?

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The problem with Cam Newton is that he comes from a spread offense and is not even close to being pro-ready.

Sure he has slightly better form than Tim Tebow, but that isn't saying much.

In spite of the National Championship win, I think Cam Newton was exposed in that game.  He had some terrible throws and missed several wide open receivers. 

Shanahan has come off as a coach who believes he can fix any problems with a player, but I highly doubt Shanny is going to be with the Redskins for 10 years and bringing along a rookie quarterback who isn't pro-ready is going to take more time than I think he wants to invest.

I think if the Redskins take a quarterback in the first round it's going to be someone like a Jake Locker, a kid who has started multiple seasons in college, not one like Newton.

However, with the Redskins I don't put anything out of the realm of possibility.

But this is how I see the whole Cam Newton thing playing out for the Redskins.

If Cam Newton is available at the No. 10 spot, I see two outcomes.

Outcome No. 1: The Redskins draft him and he's a total bust.

Mike Powell/Getty Images
Pictured: THE MAN

He'll provide Mike Vick-type excitement here and there, and his athleticism might even win the Skins a couple of games during his career, but his flaws that showed up at the Fiesta Bowl will be even more apparent, and he'll lose a lot of games.

Outcome No. 2: The Redskins pass on Newton and make the sensible choice by drafting for either line or an inside linebacker and Cam gets taken a few rounds later and once he makes his NFL debut, he explodes and is just totally awesome.

Now I know what you're saying, "Why won't he be awesome for the Skins?"

Well that's easy, the Redskins have terrible luck drafting quarterbacks, especially in the first round.

In fact the only Redskin quarterback drafted in the Super Bowl era to amount to anything was Mark Rypien and he was a sixth-round draft pick.

Every other Redskin quarterback of the Super Bowl era to achieve greatness was brought in via free agency or trade. Sonny Jergenson from Philly, Billy Kilmer from New Orleans, Joe Thiesman from the CFL, Doug Williams from the USFL (before that the Tampa Bay Buccaneers) and Brad Johnson from Minnesota.

In fact, our two most recent first-round quarterback selections, Patrick Ramsey and Jason Campbell were complete busts.

Win McNamee/Getty Images
"So, how are we going to screw up this draft?"

That's my evidence for why Cam would probably be a bust in D.C. so why would he be good somewhere else if the team passed on him?

Well that's just this team's luck lately.

It seems when we pass on players they end up doing really well.

In 2008 we drafted Malcolm Kelly and Fred Davis before the Eagles took DeShawn Jackson.

In 2005 with the ninth pick of the draft, a draft that saw Aaron Rodgers falling faster than Thurman Thomas did in 1989, the Redskins who made no bones about drafting a quarterback that year took Carlos Rogers.

At the 24th pick (the Skins picked again at 25), the Green Bay Packers took Aaron Rodgers, and we've seen how that story has played out.

I'm not saying these players would have been great if drafted by the Redskins, though the thought of Rodgers throwing to Jackson while both wearing burgundy and gold makes me want to bounce my head off the keyboard; it shows if the Skins need your position and pass on you, you are destined for greatness somewhere else.

All in all, the draft is a complete crap shoot.

Can't-miss guys are often busts, and sometimes sixth-round quarterbacks win you Super Bowls.

Really the only way for the Skins to "win" at this year's draft is if whoever they draft (or possibly sign or trade for) at quarterback becomes a stud.

Because if they take Cam and he stinks, Shanahan and Bruce Allen will never hear the end of it. It's the same if they pass on Cam and he becomes a stud and whoever quarterbacks this team next year is only average or worse.

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