Royal Rumble 2011: Why I Believe John Cena Will Win

Chris FreemanCorrespondent IJanuary 20, 2011

Hello Bleachers!

Its been a while since I posted an actual opinion-based article. With the Royal Rumble coming up and the current Cena-Punk-Nexus storyline in full swing, I figured now would be as good a time as any to write on my opinions again.

A few weeks ago, CM Punk "shocked" the world when he revealed himself to be a member of Nexus. The following week, he subsequently designated himself as the leader, something that Wade Barrett didn't take too kindly to. Punk offered to relinquish his spot as the leader, but only if Barrett could win a Triple Threat Steel Cage No. 1 Contender's Match. As we all witnessed, Punk interfered and cost Wade the match.

At this point, I thought to myself, "This is all leading to CM Punk winning the Royal Rumble." With the odds on his side, there was, kayfabe, no chance he could lose! And considering the push he's been getting from the WWE, my guess was easily reinforced.

However, Wade Barrett ended up going to Smackdown and forming his own faction with Justin Gabriel, Heath Slater and Ezekiel Jackson. CM Punk no longer had the numbers advantage, but he still had one thing over Wade Barrett: He is a "veteran" and Barrett is still a "rookie." There is a very low chance that Wade Barrett will win the Rumble. CM Punk's numbers meant more than Barrett's.

But then, something unexpected happened: The Royal Rumble was raised from 30 participants to 40. "How is this relevant?" you might ask. Well, to put it simply, it means John Cena will win the Royal Rumble.

You see, by raising the number of participants in the Rumble, you stack the odds against the WWE's resident "Superman." John Cena, as we all know, is a much better challenger than he is a champion. Statistically speaking, Cena has overcome almost every challenge that has been thrown at him. With Punk's Nexus and Barrett's faction, the odds are increased even more. But that just makes the victory that much sweeter whenever Cena wins.

"But that doesn't mean that Cena will win!" you must be saying to yourself. Well, unfortunately, it does. You see, now that the Royal Rumble has 40 participants, this will be another accolade for John Cena to accomplish: The first person to ever win a 40-man Royal Rumble.

Who better to be in that role than John Cena (sarcasm). By having a Rumble with more participants, the WWE has granted themselves an excuse to allow Cena to win the Rumble for a second time. I know that there have been plenty of other multi-time Rumble winners, but you have to think about it.

Back in the days when Hulk Hogan, Shawn Michaels and Stone Cold won the Rumble twice (or in Stone Cold's case, three times), there was only one World Title. Winning the Rumble was the only way for guys to get into the title match at Mania (unless it was going to be a Triple Threat or Fatal Four Way, but that didn't happen until Wrestlemania XX and 2000 respectively).

The problem I have with Cena winning the Rumble isn't the fact that he's John Cena. Many of you already know that I am a big fan of John Cena. The problem I have is the fact that there are so many other DESERVING superstars on the roster who could cement their legacy with a Rumble win.

There is very little that John Cena hasn't done. He's won the Royal Rumble, the Tag Titles, the Elimination Chamber (the only person to win more than one, as far as I can remember), the US title, the World Title and the WWE Title (a total of nine times betwee the two World Titles).

I'm not saying he's not allowed to enjoy another World Title reign. He's the current face of the company. However, the Royal Rumble is an entirely different accolade entirely. With talented guys on the roster like John Morrison, CM Punk, Alberto Del Rio, Christian, etc. who have yet to win the Rumble, having Cena win seems like a cheap way to put Cena in the main event.

Look about three lines above this one to see my opinion on Cena: HE'S THE FREAKING FACE OF THE COMPANY! If he wants in the main event, he'll get in the main event and he doesn't need an unnecessary Rumble win. Let someone else have time to shine.

Even worse, if Cena wins the Royal Rumble, he'll end up "breaking the curse" of the Royal Rumble. You guys know what I'm talking about. The last three Rumble winners (Edge, Orton and, of course, Cena) have all lost at Mania. If Cena wins the Rumble, there is a 100 percent chance that he'll win at Wrestlemania. I mean, why wouldn't he? Would WWE really be stupid enough to have Cena win the Rumble twice and lose at Mania both times!?

My favorite matches that can happen this year at Mania are (in order):

  1. CM Punk vs. John Cena (WWE Title Match)
  2. Christian vs. Edge (World Title Match)
  3. Wade Barrett vs. Undertaker

If Cena wins the Rumble, there is almost a guarantee that John Cena vs. The Miz will happen at Mania. This means that Nexus vs. Barrett's Faction will also happen. Considering how unlikely it is that Christian will face Edge (recently, WWE officials have announced that Christian may not be healthy in time for Mania), if Cena wins the Rumble, none of the matches I want to see will happen.

That doesn't mean I won't watch the event. I just think Punk vs. Cena would be better because they are better performers than the Miz (not taking away anything from the Miz), they have a current feud going on and if it continued to Mania, it would make the match even better, and there is a chance Punk could actually defeat Cena. Call me crazy, but I just have a feeling.

Just have Cena and Punk be before Edge vs. whoever and have Edge win. End the night on a high note and one that doesn't involve Cena. And then, revive the rivalry later and have Cena beat Punk then. Have Punk win the battle, but Cena win the war. Its a simple formula.

So what do you guys think about this? Do you think I've made a valid point as to why Cena will win the Rumble? Am I overreacting? If Punk wins the Rumble, should he defeat Cena at Mania (not WILL he win, but SHOULD he win).

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